Herbalife (HLF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLF - Herbalife Ltd.
$13.39
-0.39 (-2.83%)
▼
5d:
-8.29%
30d:
+9.66%
90d:
+9.93%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.50
23.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $13.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.92 to $13.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.5) is in line with its historical norms (4.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 16.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLF scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $13.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: HLF scores 36/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.00 (+23.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.92 -
$13.68
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (36/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.4% below Wall St target ($17.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.92 -
$13.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.02
Resistance Level
$14.89
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.48
Wall Street Target
$17.00
(+23.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
16.3%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.61
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.45
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.29
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$13.95
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 30.2%)
$134.85
(+879%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 30.2%)
$30.39
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 30.2%)
$25.83
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.56
Bull Case
$29.76
(+116%)
Analyst growth 97.3%, PE expands to 9.7
Base Case
$27.06
(+96%)
Market implied 97.3%, PE stable at 8.8
Bear Case
$9.32
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.5 to 4.7
Stabilization Target:
$14.47
(+5.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 4:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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