HLF
Herbalife Ltd.
WHOLESALE-DRUGS, PROPRIETARIES & DRUGGISTS' SUNDRIES
Herbalife (HLF) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.21
-0.34 (-2.19%)
▼
5d:
+2.08%
30d:
+7.19%
90d:
+23.36%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
0d
Protect HLF Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
37/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$12.77 – $14.59
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.0x
FAIR
vs 4.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.33
+14.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$12.83 / $15.87
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HLF shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.23
11.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLF is currently trading at $15.21, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.77 to $14.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 5.0) is in line with its historical norms (4.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.83, while resistance sits at $15.87.
Market Sentiment: HLF scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+14.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLF is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $12.83, while resistance sits at $15.87.
Market Sentiment: HLF scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.33 (+14.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$12.77 -
$14.59
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$12.77 -
$14.59
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$12.83
Resistance Level
$15.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.02
Wall Street Target
$17.33
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.5%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.6% premium
PE vs Historical
5.0 vs 4.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.61
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.01
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$16.43
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→5)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.39
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 29.0%)
$129.35
(+750%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.0, Growth: 29.0%)
$32.67
(+115%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.3, Growth: 29.0%)
$27.77
(+83%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.70
Bull Case
$30.51
(+101%)
Analyst growth 78.4%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case
$27.74
(+82%)
Market implied 78.4%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case
$10.57
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLF)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bearish sentiment dominates $HLF on StockTwits with one user expressing skepticism towards recent investment decisions, referring to it as 'NOT a Ponzi scheme'. No recent news articles were available.
Key Retail Themes:
Investor sentiment
Stock specific news
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:07 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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