Helios Technologies (HLIO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIO - Helios Technologies, Inc.
$71.71
2.82 (4.09%)
â˛
5d:
+4.47%
30d:
+1.7%
90d:
-13.08%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 02, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HLIO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HLIO is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.9% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.68
Based on 8.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$74.31
3.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIO is currently trading at $71.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.79 to $72.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 94.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIO scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.67 (+32.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $72.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: HLIO scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.67 (+32.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$67.79 -
$72.41
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLIO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 32.0% below Wall St target ($94.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.79 -
$72.41
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$4.57
(6.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.15
Resistance Level
$72.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.00
Wall Street Target
$94.67
(+32.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
94.1%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 22.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.91
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$66.23
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$63.64
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20â23)
$71.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 12.5%)
$104.05
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$102.02
(+42%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 12.5%)
$86.72
(+21%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.14
Bull Case
$126.96
(+77%)
Analyst growth 67.5%, PE expands to 35.4
Base Case
$115.42
(+61%)
Market implied 67.5%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$46.85
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 22.5
Stabilization Target:
$80.67
(+12.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 1:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLIO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLIO price and gamma walls.
