HLIO
Helios Technologies, Inc.
MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
Helios Technologies (HLIO) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$48.06
+0.06 (+0.13%)
▲
5d:
-28.22%
30d:
-30.81%
90d:
-40.77%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect HLIO Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
50/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$61.20 – $72.11
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.1x
CHEAP
vs 22.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$80.50
+67.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$46.95 / $69.67
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: HLIO is down 28.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Get Alerted When HLIO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$104.57
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.93
26.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIO is currently trading at $48.06, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $61.20 to $72.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (22.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.50 (+67.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $80.50 (+67.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$61.20 -
$72.11
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$61.20 -
$72.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$46.95
Resistance Level
$69.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLIO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 67.5% below Wall St target ($80.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.07
Wall Street Target
$80.50
(+67.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.0%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 22.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.25
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$38.93
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$35.04
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→22)
$55.04
(+15%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.5%)
$89.00
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 9.5%)
$63.05
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$53.59
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.30
Bull Case
$78.43
(+63%)
Analyst growth 48.5%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$71.30
(+48%)
Market implied 48.5%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$32.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 22.1
Stabilization Target:
$75.50
(+57.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+57.1%
Share HLIO Analysis
Share this live HLIO analysis (with rich preview card) to Reddit, StockTwits, X, or embed the chart on your blog.
bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HLIO)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 28, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message highlighted $HLIO as one of the stocks with recent dividend increases, according to DividendPower.org.
Key Retail Themes:
Dividend increases
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:37 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is HLIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Specialty Industrial Machinery Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Industrial Machinery by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
GEV
GE Vernova LLC |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$1183 | 60 HOLD |
|
ETN
Eaton Corporation PLC |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$477 | 57 HOLD |
|
EMR
Emerson Electric Company |
BUY
30 analysts |
$182 | 53 HOLD |
|
PH
Parker-Hannifin Corporat… |
STRONG BUY
26 analysts |
$1140 | 47 HOLD |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc |
BUY
22 analysts |
$709 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced HLIO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLIO price and gamma walls.
Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools
Part A: Deep-Dive HLIO Research Pages
