HLIO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLIO - Helios Technologies, Inc.
$79.57
1.66 (2.13%)
▲
5d:
+1.39%
30d:
-3.42%
90d:
+19.05%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HLIO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: HLIO is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.4% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$118.75
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLIO is currently trading at $79.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.46 to $85.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.2) is in line with its historical norms (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.64, while resistance sits at $83.42.
Market Sentiment: HLIO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.50 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLIO is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $74.64, while resistance sits at $83.42.
Market Sentiment: HLIO has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (27th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $88.50 (+13.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$77.46 -
$85.78
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
27th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HLIO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 27th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($88.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.46 -
$85.78
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.92
(8.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.64
Resistance Level
$83.42
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.21
Wall Street Target
$88.50
(+13.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
169.1%
Profit Margin
7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
23.2 vs 22.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.22
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$78.53
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$78.85
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$77.79
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.2, Growth: 14.3%)
$116.42
(+49%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 14.3%)
$103.97
(+34%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 14.3%)
$88.38
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.89
Bull Case
$151.80
(+95%)
Analyst growth 77.6%, PE expands to 45.2
Base Case
$138.00
(+77%)
Market implied 77.6%, PE stable at 41.1
Bear Case
$52.84
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 2:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HLIO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HLIO price and gamma walls.
