HLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HLX - Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.
$9.51
0.31 (3.37%)
▲
5d:
-4.04%
30d:
+11.75%
90d:
-8.12%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.18
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.53
24.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HLX is currently trading at $9.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.72 to $9.56. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.95, while resistance sits at $10.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HLX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.95, while resistance sits at $10.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.50 (+31.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.72 -
$9.56
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.4% below Wall St target ($12.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.72 -
$9.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.95
Resistance Level
$10.06
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.53
Wall Street Target
$12.50
(+31.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.9%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 19.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.24
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$8.98
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$8.73
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$9.52
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 89.2%)
$37.96
(+299%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 89.2%)
$32.10
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 89.2%)
$27.28
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (92x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 92.00 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.10
Bull Case
$20.24
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 101.2
Base Case
$18.40
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 92.0
Bear Case
$6.26
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 78.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.5 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$10.36
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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