HMC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HMC - Honda Motor Co., Ltd. American Depositary Share, each representing three (3) shares of Common Stock

Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
$31.20
-0.11 (-0.35%) ▼
5d: +1.53%
30d: +11.87%
90d: +28.03%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HMC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HMC is currently trading at $31.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.99 to $30.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 639.3) compared to its historical average (53.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 128.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HMC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $31.97. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: HMC scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $27.99 - $30.72
Company Quality Score 42/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 23.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($32.90)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 128.7% growth expectation is conservative given 148% recent growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $27.99 - $30.72
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $29.59
Resistance Level $31.97
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 639.34
Wall Street Target $32.90 (+5.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 147.5%
Profit Margin -0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +128.7% premium
PE vs Historical 639.3 vs 53.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +128.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $46.80 (+50%)
2-Year Target $70.20 (+125%)
3-Year Target $105.30 (+238%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 639→53) PE COMPRESSION $8.79 (-72%)
Significant PE compression expected
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Last updated: August 13, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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