HRI
Herc Holdings Inc.
SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS EQUIPMENT RENTAL & LEASING
Herc (HRI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$166.50
-7.40 (-4.26%)
▼
5d:
+11.14%
30d:
+35.24%
90d:
-4.04%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
0d
Protect HRI Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (34%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$124.58 – $162.96
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.2x
FAIR
vs 13.8x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$202.42
+21.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
32th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$146.40 / $175.47
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: HRI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$314.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$195.12
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRI is currently trading at $166.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $124.58 to $162.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (13.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $146.40, while resistance sits at $175.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HRI scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $202.42 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $146.40, while resistance sits at $175.47. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: HRI scores 17/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $202.42 (+21.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$124.58 -
$162.96
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$124.58 -
$162.96
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.03
(7.8%)
Support Level
$146.40
Resistance Level
$175.47
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding HRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (17/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.6% below Wall St target ($202.42)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.24
Wall Street Target
$202.42
(+21.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
244.4%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 13.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$168.17
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$169.85
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$171.55
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$166.26
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.5%)
$564.99
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 34.5%)
$405.07
(+143%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 34.5%)
$344.31
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.74
Bull Case
$382.58
(+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$347.80
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 46.5
Bear Case
$118.25
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HRI)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Herc Holdings (HRI) experienced a bullish day on the stock market after reporting a Q3 earnings beat and raising full-year guidance. The company's exceptional asset efficiency and strong position in the data center equipment market contributed to the positive sentiment.
Key Retail Themes:
Q3 earnings beat
HRI's role in data center equipment market
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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