HRI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HRI - Herc Holdings Inc.
$143.29
-10.14 (-6.61%)
▼
5d:
-5.45%
30d:
+10.56%
90d:
+37.59%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HRI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$262.60
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.05
12.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HRI is currently trading at $143.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.24 to $147.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $124.23, while resistance sits at $150.72. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.09 (+18.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HRI is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $124.23, while resistance sits at $150.72. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: HRI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $170.09 (+18.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$131.24 -
$147.74
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding HRI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($170.09)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with 32.3% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$131.24 -
$147.74
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$13.61
(9.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.23
Resistance Level
$150.72
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.45
Wall Street Target
$170.09
(+18.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.0%
Profit Margin
-0.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.30
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$149.37
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$152.51
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.52
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 61.7%)
$728.86
(+409%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 61.7%)
$483.60
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 61.7%)
$411.06
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HRI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced HRI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HRI price and gamma walls.
