HTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HTZ - Hertz Global Holdings, Inc Common Stock

SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)
$5.06
-0.08 (-1.56%) ▼
5d: -1.36%
30d: +0.0%
90d: +22.52%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: HTZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.39
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HTZ is currently trading at $5.06, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.98 to $5.31. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (18.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HTZ is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $5.02. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $4.98 - $5.31
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 75.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($4.64)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.6% growth with 10.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.98 - $5.31
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $5.02
Resistance Level $5.63
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.81
Wall Street Target $4.64 (-8.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -30.9%
Profit Margin -7.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +9.6% premium
PE vs Historical 23.8 vs 18.1 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +9.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.55 (+10%)
2-Year Target $6.08 (+20%)
3-Year Target $6.66 (+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→18) PE COMPRESSION $5.06 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:40 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced HTZ Option Strategies

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