HTLD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
HTLD - Heartland Express Inc
$14.64
-0.05 (-0.34%)
▼
5d:
-7.46%
30d:
+2.52%
90d:
+47.14%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HTLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: HTLD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.77
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.38
4.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTLD is currently trading at $14.64, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.18 to $15.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 28.8) is in line with its historical norms (27.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.40. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTLD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.65. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.40. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.18 -
$15.83
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.3% above Wall St target ($12.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with -19.7% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.18 -
$15.83
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.11
(7.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.65
Resistance Level
$16.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.78
Wall Street Target
$12.40
(-15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
-5.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
28.8 vs 27.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.79
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$14.93
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$15.08
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$14.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.8, Growth: 2141.0%)
$49.41
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 2141.0%)
$37.39
(+155%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 2141.0%)
$31.78
(+117%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:03 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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