HTLD
Heartland Express Inc
TRUCKING (NO LOCAL)
Heartland Express (HTLD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.46
+0.08 (+0.72%)
â˛
5d:
-2.43%
30d:
-3.68%
90d:
-17.38%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (85%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$10.19 â $11.08
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
24.1x
FAIR
vs 26.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$11.80
+12.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
9th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.94 / $11.33
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: HTLD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -3.0% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.13
20.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: HTLD is currently trading at $10.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.19 to $11.08. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.1) is in line with its historical norms (26.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTLD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.94, while resistance sits at $11.33.
Market Sentiment: HTLD scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.80 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, HTLD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.94, while resistance sits at $11.33.
Market Sentiment: HTLD scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (9th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.80 (+12.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$10.19 -
$11.08
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
9th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.6%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$10.19 -
$11.08
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$1.23
(11.8%)
Support Level
$9.94
Resistance Level
$11.33
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 9th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.08
Wall Street Target
$11.80
(+12.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.1 vs 26.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.15
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$9.84
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$9.55
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24â26)
$10.46
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.1, Growth: 201.6%)
$35.30
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 201.6%)
$29.11
(+178%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 201.6%)
$24.74
(+137%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.1 to 26.4
Stabilization Target:
$11.47
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (HTLD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests improving sentiment towards Transportation stocks and small caps, specifically $HTLD. The user highlights insider buying activity and the stock's recent closes above its weekly Ichimoku cloud.
Key Retail Themes:
Strong insider buying activity
Improving sentiment in Transportation stocks and small caps
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 3:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is HTLD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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