IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT
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IBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$248.22
+3.69 (+1.51%)
â˛
5d:
-2.4%
30d:
+7.56%
90d:
+4.67%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Protect IBM Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (38%)
Quality Score
52/100
Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
30-Day Fair Range
$229.53 â $253.71
Position: SLIGHTLY HIGH
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.8x
FAIR
vs 19.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$259.30
+4.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$240.35 / $259.87
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: IBM is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $245.00 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 6.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$334.03
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$207.41
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: IBM is currently trading at $248.22, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $229.53 to $253.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 25.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $240.35, while resistance sits at $259.87.
Market Sentiment: IBM scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, IBM is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $240.35, while resistance sits at $259.87.
Market Sentiment: IBM scores 38/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$229.53 -
$253.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
38.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$229.53 -
$253.71
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support Level
$240.35
Resistance Level
$259.87
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding IBM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (38/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($259.30)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.76
Wall Street Target
$259.30
(+4.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
25.0%
Profit Margin
16.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$244.99
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$241.81
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$238.66
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â20)
$248.13
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.6%)
$318.04
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 6.6%)
$300.37
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 6.6%)
$255.31
(+3%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.72
Bull Case
$303.73
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.9%, PE expands to 23.0
Base Case
$276.12
(+11%)
Market implied 12.9%, PE stable at 20.9
Bear Case
$166.28
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$258.06
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (IBM)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
2 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
IBM's quantum computing advancements continue to progress, with plans to scale beyond 1,000 qubits by 2027. Traders are bullish on IBM's undervalued potential.
Key Retail Themes:
IBM's quantum computing progress
Bullish sentiment towards IBM
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
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Sells
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NEUTRAL
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