Is IBM stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, IBM is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of IBM stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for IBM to be between $231.22 and $238.01. The current price is $243.29.

What is the analyst price target for IBM?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for IBM is $245.35. This implies a potential upside of 0.8% from current levels.

IBM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IBM - International Business Machines Corporation

COMPUTER & OFFICE EQUIPMENT

$243.29

9.27 (3.96%) ▲

5d: +3.66%

30d: +3.1%

90d: -11.48%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your IBM Gains

Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 28, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $234.71 · last confirmed Sep 11, 2026

Strength: 6.6/10

Get Alerted When IBM Hits Your Target Price

Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move

You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.

100% Free No spam, ever Unsubscribe anytime

Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

Loading historical data...

💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: IBM shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$340.64

Based on 5.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$211.51

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.9x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IBM is currently trading at $243.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $231.22 to $238.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IBM is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $243.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $231.22 - $238.01

Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 51.0%

Protect Your Profits

Holding IBM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.

View Profit Protection Plan

All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.0%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($245.35)
WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $231.22 - $238.01

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $229.10

Resistance Level $243.63

Current Trend Sideways

Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.48

Wall Street Target $245.35 (+0.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.1%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -1.8%

Profit Margin 15.5%

Valuation Discount vs History -2.4% cheaper

PE vs Historical 18.5 vs 19.9 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -2.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $237.45 (-2%)

2-Year Target $231.75 (-5%)

3-Year Target $226.19 (-7%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→20) $243.52 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 6.8%) $323.69 (+33%)

Base: (SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 6.8%) $296.63 (+22%)

Bear: (PE: 15.7, Growth: 6.8%) $252.13 (+4%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 20.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.25

Bull Case $301.18 (+24%)

Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 22.9

Base Case $273.80 (+13%)

Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 20.8

Bear Case $159.13 (-35%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 19.9

Stabilization Target: $261.93 (+7.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +7.7%

Share & Embed Analysis

Found this analysis useful? Share it with your community or embed the live chart on your blog.

Tweet Reddit

bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.

Last updated: September 12, 2026 2:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:06 PM

🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now

Ticker	Score	Recommendation	Change %

See Full Scanner Results »

Technical Signals Check

Is IBM showing a specific setup today?

RSI Divergence Check TTM Squeeze Check MACD Crossover Check Gamma Walls Check Unusual Activity Check

Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

View Insider Activity Scanner

Unlock Insider Activity

See real-time buying/selling by company executives for IBM.

Create Free Account

Already have an account? Log In

Top Rated Information Technology Services Stocks

Top-rated stocks in Information Technology Services by analyst ratings.

Stock	Analyst Consensus	Analyst Target	Tradestie Score
ACN Accenture plc	BUY 28 analysts	$184	45 HOLD
GDS GDS Holdings Ltd	STRONG BUY 19 analysts	$51	59 HOLD
CIFR Cipher Mining Inc	STRONG BUY 16 analysts	$32	58 HOLD
FIS Fidelity National Inform…	BUY 26 analysts	$50	46 HOLD
CACI CACI International Inc	STRONG BUY 16 analysts	$735	67 BUY

CIFR Cipher Mining Inc

58 HOLD

FIS Fidelity National…

46 HOLD

CACI CACI Internationa…

67 BUY

Advanced IBM Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IBM price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

More Analysis for IBM

IBM Technical Chart IBM Price Prediction IBM Earnings Date Why is IBM Moving Today? IBM Investment Advisor IBM Fair Price Analyzer IBM Options Advisor IBM Options Chain IBM Options Analysis IBM Competitors

Compare IBM with Peers

IBM vs CSCO
Which one to buy?

IBM vs ORCL
Which one to buy?

IBM vs INTC
Which one to buy?

IBM vs JNJ
Which one to buy?

IBM vs WMT
Which one to buy?

IBM vs KTOS

BULG vs IBM

IBM vs TEAM
Winner: IBM

IBM vs PANW
Winner: IBM

Create New Comparison View All Competitors

Tradestie