Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
$157.40
1.59 (1.02%)
â˛
5d:
-4.37%
30d:
+4.01%
90d:
+13.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $161.26 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ICE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: ICE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.32
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $157.40, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $152.09 to $161.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.9) is in line with its historical norms (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 14.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $154.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.29 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $154.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $187.29 (+19.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$152.09 -
$161.24
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ICE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($187.29)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$152.09 -
$161.24
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.95
Resistance Level
$164.66
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.88
Wall Street Target
$187.29
(+19.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Profit Margin
38.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 18.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$155.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$153.65
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$151.80
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18â19)
$157.02
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$225.33
(+43%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 8.3%)
$199.80
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 8.3%)
$169.83
(+8%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.06
Bull Case
$213.65
(+36%)
Analyst growth 24.7%, PE expands to 24.3
Base Case
$194.23
(+23%)
Market implied 24.7%, PE stable at 22.1
Bear Case
$105.95
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.9 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$162.81
(+3.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
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