ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
$137.67
2.41 (1.78%)
▲
5d:
+2.05%
30d:
-1.9%
90d:
-14.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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1 traders called ICE this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.9% annual earnings decline despite 80% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ICE appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.9% annual earnings decline despite 80% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$223.73
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$138.92
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $137.67, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.56 to $140.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.7) compared to its historical average (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $136.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.93 (+33.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $136.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ICE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $183.93 (+33.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$128.56 -
$140.58
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($183.93)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$128.56 -
$140.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$136.67
Resistance Level
$150.55
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.70
Wall Street Target
$183.93
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
79.7%
Profit Margin
37.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 18.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$129.55
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$121.90
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$114.71
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$138.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.4%)
$243.48
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$175.54
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.4%)
$149.21
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.87
Bull Case
$189.88
(+38%)
Analyst growth 27.6%, PE expands to 21.7
Base Case
$172.61
(+25%)
Market implied 27.6%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$91.98
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$165.70
(+20.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 11:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
2026-03-30
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BUY
2026-03-23
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BUY
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