ICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ICE - Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES
$133.00
1.66 (1.26%) ▲
5d: -5.07%
30d: -12.21%
90d: -15.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$227.28
Based on 6.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$141.12
5.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $133.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.88 to $150.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 79.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $136.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: ICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $197.67 (+48.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $136.88 - $150.90
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 48.6% below Wall St target ($197.67)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.1%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $136.88 - $150.90
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $136.67
Resistance Level $150.55
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.10
Wall Street Target $197.67 (+48.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 79.7%
Profit Margin 37.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 15.1 vs 19.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $122.63 (-8%)
2-Year Target $113.06 (-15%)
3-Year Target $104.24 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→19) $132.55 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.2%) $243.06 (+83%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 8.2%) $168.51 (+27%)
Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 8.2%) $143.23 (+8%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.87
Bull Case $185.24 (+39%)
Analyst growth 28.2%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case $168.40 (+27%)
Market implied 28.2%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case $89.31 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.1 to 19.2
Stabilization Target: $169.12 (+27.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +27.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-30
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-10

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