ICE Intercontinental Exchange Inc. SECURITY & COMMODITY BROKERS, DEALERS, EXCHANGES & SERVICES

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$178.09
-2.50 (-1.38%) ▼
5d: +2.35% 30d: +14.82% 90d: +15.1%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$154.76 – $171.93
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
20.2x FAIR
vs 18.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$192.20
+6.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$164.54 / $181.38
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$226.14
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$140.41
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ICE is currently trading at $178.09, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $154.76 to $171.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ICE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $181.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ICE scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $154.76 - $171.93
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 24.8%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $154.76 - $171.93
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Support Level $164.54
Resistance Level $181.38
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($192.20)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.21
Wall Street Target $192.20 (+6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 17.6%
Profit Margin 38.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium
PE vs Historical 20.2 vs 18.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $186.19 (+3%)
2-Year Target $191.96 (+6%)
3-Year Target $197.91 (+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→18) PE COMPRESSION $180.17 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.2%) $234.99 (+30%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.2%) $230.90 (+28%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 9.2%) $196.27 (+9%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.34
Bull Case $236.15 (+31%)
Analyst growth 21.7%, PE expands to 26.4
Base Case $214.68 (+19%)
Market implied 21.7%, PE stable at 24.0
Bear Case $119.92 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (ICE)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) is set to launch wind futures and has seen strong investor interest, with a 12.91% 30-day return and 16.54% 90-day return. The company's expansion and integration of global trading platforms, growing open interest, and increasing demand for market data and analytics contribute to revenue growth and higher net margins.
Key Retail Themes: Product expansion and investor interest in wind futures Revenue growth from expanding and integrating global trading platforms
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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