IMAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

IMAX - Imax Corp

PHOTOGRAPHIC EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$38.98
-1.52 (-3.75%) ▼
5d: +0.78%
30d: +10.61%
90d: -5.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

None View Scanner →

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: IMAX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.48
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.79
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: IMAX is currently trading at $38.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.09 to $38.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.0) is in line with its historical norms (20.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 75.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, IMAX is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $33.14, while resistance sits at $40.80. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: IMAX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $46.82 (+20.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $34.09 - $38.91
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.4%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($46.82)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $34.09 - $38.91
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$1.90 (4.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.14
Resistance Level $40.80
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.98
Wall Street Target $46.82 (+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 75.0%
Profit Margin 9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 20.0 vs 20.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $38.67 (-1%)
2-Year Target $38.36 (-2%)
3-Year Target $38.05 (-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 20→21) $39.04 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.8%) $64.70 (+66%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 14.8%) $59.01 (+51%)
Bear: (PE: 17.0, Growth: 14.8%) $50.16 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.63 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.59
Bull Case $47.37 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.9
Base Case $39.23 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case $30.01 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 20.5
Stabilization Target: $39.99 (+2.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +2.6%
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 7:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:51 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard L Gelfond SELL 34182 shares 2026-04-17
Richard L Gelfond SELL 41737 shares 2026-04-16
Richard L Gelfond SELL 15746 shares 2026-04-15

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Advanced IMAX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's IMAX price and gamma walls.

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