INGR
Ingredion Incorporated
GRAIN MILL PRODUCTS
Ingredion (INGR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$92.83
+0.88 (+0.96%)
▲
5d:
-4.65%
30d:
-4.55%
90d:
-11.67%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$94.01 – $97.60
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.0x
FAIR
vs 9.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$113.17
+21.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$90.14 / $100.32
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INGR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.53
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $92.83, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.01 to $97.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.17 (+21.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $90.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $113.17 (+21.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$94.01 -
$97.60
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$94.01 -
$97.60
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$90.14
Resistance Level
$100.32
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.9% below Wall St target ($113.17)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.01
Wall Street Target
$113.17
(+21.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-14.6%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.27
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$91.72
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$91.17
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$93.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$256.96
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 7.9%)
$116.54
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.7, Growth: 7.9%)
$99.06
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.81
Bull Case
$118.32
(+28%)
Analyst growth 17.0%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$107.56
(+16%)
Market implied 17.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$62.53
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$94.81
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (INGR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A financial analyst on StockTwits identifies similarities between $INGR's discounted cash flow and balance sheet metrics to those of $TSN when it was priced at $52, predicting a potential rebound of 10%.
Key Retail Themes:
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis
Balance Sheet Metrics
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:00 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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