Ingredion (INGR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$97.18
1.50 (1.57%)
â˛
5d:
-0.09%
30d:
+0.37%
90d:
-3.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: INGR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: INGR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$135.91
Based on 5.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$84.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $97.18, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.58 to $97.96. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.50 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $99.69. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.50 (+23.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$95.58 -
$97.96
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.0% below Wall St target ($119.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.58 -
$97.96
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$93.72
Resistance Level
$99.70
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.64
Wall Street Target
$119.50
(+23.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.5%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.14
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$93.14
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$91.19
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9â9)
$97.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.2%)
$275.38
(+183%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 7.2%)
$119.75
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 7.2%)
$101.78
(+5%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.19
Bull Case
$128.88
(+33%)
Analyst growth 22.5%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$117.16
(+21%)
Market implied 22.5%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$65.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.2
Stabilization Target:
$103.53
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 8:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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