INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$99.46
-0.87 (-0.87%)
▼
5d:
-1.64%
30d:
+4.02%
90d:
-10.99%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.73
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.38
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $99.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $97.07 to $101.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.17 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $98.72. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.17 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$97.07 -
$101.68
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($121.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$97.07 -
$101.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.72
Resistance Level
$104.30
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.61
Wall Street Target
$121.17
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.77
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$94.16
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$91.62
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$98.98
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.1%)
$294.12
(+196%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 7.1%)
$122.14
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 7.1%)
$103.82
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.25
Bull Case
$124.40
(+25%)
Analyst growth 12.7%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$113.09
(+14%)
Market implied 12.7%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$68.22
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.3
Stabilization Target:
$107.45
(+8.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-31
Davida Marie Gable
SELL
375 shares
2026-03-18
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
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