INGR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INGR - Ingredion Incorporated
$99.34
0.59 (0.60%)
▲
5d:
+0.05%
30d:
-3.12%
90d:
-13.36%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
Get Alerted When INGR Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: INGR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.36
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.77
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INGR is currently trading at $99.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $96.78 to $100.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.17 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INGR is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.12. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: INGR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.17 (+22.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$96.78 -
$100.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.0% below Wall St target ($121.17)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$96.78 -
$100.71
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.12
Resistance Level
$105.20
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.59
Wall Street Target
$121.17
(+22.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.0%
Profit Margin
9.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.6 vs 9.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.46
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$93.66
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$90.95
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
$99.51
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$307.15
(+209%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 6.8%)
$121.15
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.3, Growth: 6.8%)
$102.98
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.50 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.40
Bull Case
$120.78
(+22%)
Analyst growth 11.2%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$109.80
(+11%)
Market implied 11.2%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$67.15
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$108.70
(+9.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:25 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is INGR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jorge A Uribe
SELL
1 shares
2026-03-31
Davida Marie Gable
SELL
375 shares
2026-03-18
James P Zallie
SELL
9958 shares
2026-02-18
Top Rated Packaged Foods Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Packaged Foods by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FRPT
Freshpet Inc |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$81 | 56 HOLD |
|
BRBR
Bellring Brands LLC |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$14 | 59 HOLD |
|
DAR
Darling Ingredients Inc |
STRONG BUY
13 analysts |
$75 | 58 HOLD |
|
GIS
General Mills Inc |
SELL
23 analysts |
$38 | 63 BUY |
|
NOMD
Nomad Foods Ltd |
STRONG BUY
7 analysts |
$13 | 59 HOLD |
