InnovAge (INNV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INNV - InnovAge Holding Corp. Common Stock
$8.80
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.45%
30d:
-18.74%
90d:
-26.61%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
Get Alerted When INNV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: INNV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: INNV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.34
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.11
41.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INNV is currently trading at $8.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.04 to $11.22. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (26.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INNV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.40, while resistance sits at $10.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+36.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INNV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $8.40, while resistance sits at $10.95.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.00 (+36.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.04 -
$11.22
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.4% below Wall St target ($12.00)
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (45/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.04 -
$11.22
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.40
Resistance Level
$10.95
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.60
Wall Street Target
$12.00
(+36.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.8%
Profit Margin
-0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 26.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.92
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$7.13
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$6.42
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→26)
$9.59
(+9%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 38.9%)
$27.33
(+211%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 38.9%)
$23.58
(+168%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 38.9%)
$20.04
(+128%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 26.3
Stabilization Target:
$13.15
(+49.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 6:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:09 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is INNV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Medical Care Facilities Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Medical Care Facilities by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corpora… |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$285 | 58 HOLD |
|
HCA
HCA Healthcare, Inc. |
BUY
25 analysts |
$454 | 46 HOLD |
|
EHC
Encompass Health Corp |
STRONG BUY
12 analysts |
$148 | 54 HOLD |
|
CMPS
Compass Pathways Plc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$24 | 45 HOLD |
|
ADUS
Addus HomeCare Corporati… |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$134 | 53 HOLD |
