InnovAge (INNV) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
INNV - InnovAge Holding Corp. Common Stock
$10.75
0.15 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
-0.19%
30d:
+3.07%
90d:
+17.49%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INNV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: INNV shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$15.69
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: INNV is currently trading at $10.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.61 to $11.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 26.2) is in line with its historical norms (26.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INNV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.23, while resistance sits at $12.20.
Market Sentiment: INNV scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, INNV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.23, while resistance sits at $12.20.
Market Sentiment: INNV scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.61 -
$11.11
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.61 -
$11.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.23
Resistance Level
$12.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.22
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-2.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
18.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.8%
Profit Margin
-0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
26.2 vs 26.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.67
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$10.60
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$10.53
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→27)
$10.76
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$15.88
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.9%)
$12.22
(+14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$10.38
(-3%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 26.2 to 26.8
Stabilization Target:
$10.99
(+2.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is INNV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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