Inspired Entertainment (INSE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INSE - Inspired Entertainment, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$3.57
-0.42 (-10.53%) β–Ό
5d: -20.93%
30d: -39.8%
90d: -56.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 29, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: INSE is down 20.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.30
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.64
53.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INSE is currently trading at $3.57, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.53 to $5.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.8) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 398190.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INSE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.92. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: INSE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.17 (+230.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $4.53 - $5.83
Company Quality Score 29/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 230.0% below Wall St target ($13.17)
  • WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.53 - $5.83
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.92
Resistance Level $5.18
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 28, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.77
Wall Street Target $13.17 (+230.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -24.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 398190.6%
Profit Margin -3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.8 vs 12.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.59 (-10%)
2-Year Target $3.23 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.91 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’12) $4.61 (+15%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 88.8%) $35.36 (+786%)
Base: (SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 88.8%) $13.47 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 6.6, Growth: 88.8%) $11.45 (+187%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 12.3
Stabilization Target: $6.32 (+58.3%)
PE Expansion Potential: +58.3%
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Last updated: September 29, 2026 12:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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