ITT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ITT - ITT Inc.

PUMPS & PUMPING EQUIPMENT
$194.52
-4.71 (-2.36%) ▼
5d: -0.34%
30d: +0.96%
90d: +3.46%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ITT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$353.42
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$219.45
11.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ITT is currently trading at $194.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $189.56 to $196.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.0) is in line with its historical norms (23.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ITT is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $187.47, while resistance sits at $201.58.

Market Sentiment: ITT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $244.77 (+25.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $189.56 - $196.71
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 86.5%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 25.8% below Wall St target ($244.77)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $189.56 - $196.71
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$10.22 (5.3%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $187.47
Resistance Level $201.58
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.99
Wall Street Target $244.77 (+25.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 32.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -33.1%
Profit Margin 10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 21.0 vs 23.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $187.91 (-3%)
2-Year Target $181.52 (-7%)
3-Year Target $175.35 (-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→23) $194.65 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.9%) $322.53 (+66%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.0, Growth: 16.9%) $310.82 (+60%)
Bear: (PE: 17.8, Growth: 16.9%) $264.20 (+36%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.67
Bull Case $353.85 (+78%)
Analyst growth 63.4%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case $321.68 (+62%)
Market implied 63.4%, PE stable at 34.7
Bear Case $133.83 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.0 to 23.3
Stabilization Target: $215.93 (+11.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +11.0%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:05 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Luca Savi SELL 63450 shares 2026-03-05
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. BUY 2026-03-03

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