JBSS
John B. Sanfilippo & SON
SUGAR & CONFECTIONERY PRODUCTS
John B. Sanfilippo & SON (JBSS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$56.80
+0.69 (+1.23%)
▲
5d:
+3.74%
30d:
-14.6%
90d:
-34.48%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (87%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$56.95 – $68.55
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
9.4x
CHEAP
vs 11.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$94.00
+65.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
43th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$50.73 / $63.12
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JBSS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$88.19
Based on 4.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JBSS is currently trading at $56.80, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.95 to $68.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBSS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.73, while resistance sits at $63.12.
Market Sentiment: JBSS scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+65.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JBSS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $50.73, while resistance sits at $63.12.
Market Sentiment: JBSS scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $94.00 (+65.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$56.95 -
$68.55
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
43th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
86.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$56.95 -
$68.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.89
(6.8%)
Support Level
$50.73
Resistance Level
$63.12
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 65.5% below Wall St target ($94.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.38
Wall Street Target
$94.00
(+65.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.2%
Profit Margin
4.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.99
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$49.44
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$46.13
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$56.53
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 5.7%)
$141.92
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 5.7%)
$67.06
(+18%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 5.7%)
$57.00
(+0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.78
Bull Case
$78.15
(+38%)
Analyst growth 26.6%, PE expands to 12.9
Base Case
$71.05
(+25%)
Market implied 26.6%, PE stable at 11.7
Bear Case
$38.15
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$69.60
(+22.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+22.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JBSS)
Bearish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
John B. Sanfilippo & Son reported lower-than-expected earnings for Q1, with EPS of $1.11 versus an estimated $1.53. The peanut and tree nut producer posted revenue of $288.1 million.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings miss
revenue
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JBSS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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