JD
JD.com, Inc.
Retail-Retail Stores, NEC
JD.com (JD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$28.31
-0.07 (-0.25%)
▼
5d:
+5.2%
30d:
+5.95%
90d:
-10.44%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 17, 2026
5d
Protect JD Gains
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (30%)
Quality Score
32/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$25.68 – $27.72
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
1.1x
FAIR
vs 1.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$38.92
+37.5% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$25.27 / $29.34
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 2, 2026 at $26.50 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 8.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.78
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.25
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JD is currently trading at $28.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.68 to $27.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.1) is in line with its historical norms (1.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.27, while resistance sits at $29.34.
Market Sentiment: JD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.92 (+37.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $25.27, while resistance sits at $29.34.
Market Sentiment: JD scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.92 (+37.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.68 -
$27.72
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$25.68 -
$27.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$25.27
Resistance Level
$29.34
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding JD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.5% below Wall St target ($38.92)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.06
Wall Street Target
$38.92
(+37.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.1% premium
PE vs Historical
1.1 vs 1.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.34
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$28.37
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$28.40
(+0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→1)
$29.55
(+4%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.5%)
$1027.61
(+3530%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.1, Growth: 24.5%)
$54.69
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 0.9, Growth: 24.5%)
$46.49
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case
$62.44
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.8
Base Case
$56.76
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$19.30
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JD)
Bearish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
3
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on JD are bearish (sentiment score -0.00) across 3 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced JD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JD price and gamma walls.
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