What is the fair value of JD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for JD to be between $29.19 and $32.35. The current price is $29.37.

What is the analyst price target for JD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for JD is $39.74. This implies a potential upside of 35.3% from current levels.

JD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JD - JD.com, Inc.

Retail-Retail Stores, NEC

$29.37

-0.04 (-0.14%) ▼

5d: +1.07%

30d: -2.39%

90d: -6.67%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 13, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 11, 2026 at $31.93 · last confirmed Aug 19, 2026

Strength: 8.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: JD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.7% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$60.95

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$37.85

22.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JD is currently trading at $29.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.19 to $32.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.0) is in line with its historical norms (1.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 21.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $28.34, while resistance sits at $33.49.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.74 (+35.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $29.19 - $32.35

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($39.74)
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $29.19 - $32.35

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $28.34

Resistance Level $33.49

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.03

Wall Street Target $39.74 (+35.3%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -2.9%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 21.3%

Profit Margin 1.1%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 1.0 vs 1.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $28.87 (-2%)

2-Year Target $28.38 (-3%)

3-Year Target $27.90 (-5%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→1) $29.73 (+1%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 25.0%) $1115.51 (+3698%)

Base: (SPY PE: 1.0, Growth: 25.0%) $57.37 (+95%)

Bear: (PE: 0.9, Growth: 25.0%) $48.76 (+66%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 19.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50

Bull Case $64.70 (+120%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.6

Base Case $58.82 (+100%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.6

Bear Case $20.00 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.0 to 1.1

Stabilization Target: $31.30 (+6.6%)

PE Expansion Potential: +6.6%

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Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:21 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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