Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

JNJ - Johnson & Johnson

PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS
$267.61
9.83 (3.81%) ▲
5d: +5.66%
30d: -0.58%
90d: +1.6%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 13, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $256.03 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JNJ shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
JNJ is flagged by 1 backtest-validated scanner today

SPY Bullish (stocks from this scanner have beaten SPY by a median 0.37% over the next 20 trading days; JNJ has been on it 4 days). Backtested on 8 months of scanner history vs the S&P 500, as of 2026-10-22.

See all of today's Best Signals in the free scanner →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$277.52
Based on 4.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$172.32
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: JNJ is currently trading at $267.61, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $255.45 to $269.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (19.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, JNJ is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $269.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: JNJ scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $255.45 - $269.20
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.8%)
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($279.41)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.8% growth with 5.9% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $255.45 - $269.20
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $245.17
Resistance Level $269.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 22, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.04
Wall Street Target $279.41 (+4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -96.0%
Profit Margin 16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.8% premium
PE vs Historical 23.0 vs 19.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $283.13 (+6%)
2-Year Target $299.55 (+12%)
3-Year Target $316.93 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→19) PE COMPRESSION $266.91 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.0, Growth: 4.5%) $305.19 (+14%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.5%) $263.13 (-2%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 4.5%) $223.66 (-16%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.12 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.59
Bull Case $499.88 (+87%)
Analyst growth 76.3%, PE expands to 43.0
Base Case $454.44 (+70%)
Market implied 76.3%, PE stable at 39.1
Bear Case $175.29 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 23, 2026 12:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced JNJ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's JNJ price and gamma walls.

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