JRSH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JRSH - Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. Common Stock
$4.52
-0.21 (-4.48%)
▼
5d:
-0.92%
30d:
+26.21%
90d:
+46.22%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 11, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JRSH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JRSH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JRSH is currently trading at $4.52, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.83 to $4.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (8.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 12.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRSH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRSH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.63. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.00 (+26.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$3.83 -
$4.79
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
MODERATE
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 26.8% below Wall St target ($6.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 12.9% growth with 46.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.83 -
$4.79
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.28
Resistance Level
$3.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.45
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+26.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
46.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.3%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+12.9% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 8.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+12.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.34
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$6.03
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$6.81
(+44%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$4.76
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 153.3%)
$27.93
(+491%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 153.3%)
$15.96
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 153.3%)
$11.16
(+136%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.27
Bull Case
$7.06
(+49%)
Analyst growth 40.7%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$6.42
(+36%)
Market implied 40.7%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$3.10
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JRSH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert K Lee
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-21
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