Jerash Holdings (US) (JRSH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JRSH - Jerash Holdings (US), Inc. Common Stock
$6.15
0.32 (5.49%)
▲
5d:
+8.27%
30d:
+12.53%
90d:
+33.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JRSH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JRSH shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.40
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JRSH is currently trading at $6.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.34 to $5.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRSH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: JRSH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JRSH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $6.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: JRSH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.34 -
$5.80
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
23.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.50)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 17.5% growth expectation is conservative given 418% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.34 -
$5.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.55
Resistance Level
$6.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.18
Wall Street Target
$6.50
(+5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
418.1%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 10.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.23
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$8.49
(+38%)
3-Year Target
$9.98
(+62%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.16
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 153.3%)
$26.16
(+325%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 153.3%)
$20.76
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 153.3%)
$12.82
(+109%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.38
Bull Case
$6.41
(+4%)
Analyst growth 0.0%, PE expands to 16.9
Base Case
$5.83
(-5%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.3
Bear Case
$3.96
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 04, 2026 6:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:29 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is JRSH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert K Lee
SELL
400 shares
2026-04-21
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