Kadant (KAI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KAI - Kadant Inc.
$266.30
-19.93 (-6.96%)
▼
5d:
-10.51%
30d:
-20.29%
90d:
-7.72%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KAI is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KAI is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$498.89
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$309.77
14.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KAI is currently trading at $266.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $293.73 to $331.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $266.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: KAI scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $361.67 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $266.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: KAI scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $361.67 (+35.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$293.73 -
$331.44
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 35.8% below Wall St target ($361.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$293.73 -
$331.44
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$266.15
Resistance Level
$307.71
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.71
Wall Street Target
$361.67
(+35.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 25.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$244.46
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$224.42
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$206.02
(-23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→26)
$266.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 12.3%)
$385.51
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 12.3%)
$376.68
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 12.3%)
$320.18
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.13
Bull Case
$465.99
(+75%)
Analyst growth 48.0%, PE expands to 34.5
Base Case
$423.62
(+59%)
Market implied 48.0%, PE stable at 31.4
Bear Case
$194.64
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$344.57
(+29.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 9:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:20 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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