KAI
Kadant Inc.
SPECIAL INDUSTRY MACHINERY (NO METALWORKING MACHINERY)
Kadant (KAI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$302.17
+2.34 (+0.78%)
▲
5d:
-2.07%
30d:
+15.53%
90d:
-8.72%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (26%)
Quality Score
26/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$257.24 – $288.91
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
22.4x
FAIR
vs 24.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$357.50
+18.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$263.40 / $320.18
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KAI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$488.92
Based on 8.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$303.58
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KAI is currently trading at $302.17, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $257.24 to $288.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.4) is in line with its historical norms (24.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 26.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $263.40, while resistance sits at $320.18.
Market Sentiment: KAI scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $357.50 (+18.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KAI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $263.40, while resistance sits at $320.18.
Market Sentiment: KAI scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $357.50 (+18.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$257.24 -
$288.91
Company Quality Score
26/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
26.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$257.24 -
$288.91
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$263.40
Resistance Level
$320.18
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($357.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 26/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.36
Wall Street Target
$357.50
(+18.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
22.4 vs 24.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$293.10
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$284.31
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$275.78
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→25)
$302.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 12.3%)
$427.41
(+41%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$379.59
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 12.3%)
$322.65
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.80
Bull Case
$454.75
(+51%)
Analyst growth 37.9%, PE expands to 33.7
Base Case
$413.41
(+37%)
Market implied 37.9%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$203.88
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 24.5
Stabilization Target:
$331.06
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KAI)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
May 7, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on KAI are bullish (sentiment score +0.20) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 4:56 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KAI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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