KGS
Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION
Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$42.26
-2.41 (-5.40%)
▼
5d:
-9.2%
30d:
-19.49%
90d:
-31.9%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
LOW Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$43.55 – $52.37
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
13.3x
CHEAP
vs 19.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$77.79
+84.1% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$38.21 / $49.05
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: KGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.10
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.95
42.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGS is currently trading at $42.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.55 to $52.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.3) compared to its historical average (19.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.21, while resistance sits at $49.05. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGS scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.79 (+84.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $38.21, while resistance sits at $49.05. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: KGS scores 70/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.79 (+84.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$43.55 -
$52.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.55 -
$52.37
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$38.21
Resistance Level
$49.05
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (70/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 84.1% below Wall St target ($77.79)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 70/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.2% 5-day decline
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.32
Wall Street Target
$77.79
(+84.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-11.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 19.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-11.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.03
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$34.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$30.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→19)
$44.86
(+6%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.7%)
$122.30
(+189%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 24.7%)
$82.04
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 24.7%)
$69.73
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.55 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.92
Bull Case
$98.27
(+133%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.4
Base Case
$89.34
(+111%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.6
Bear Case
$30.38
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.3 to 19.4
Stabilization Target:
$61.54
(+45.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+45.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KGS)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits user expresses satisfaction with their investment in $KGS, formerly CCLP, despite some losses for late entrants.
Key Retail Themes:
Investor satisfaction
Former CCLP holders
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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