KGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGS - Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
$67.84
0.66 (0.98%)
▲
5d:
-0.15%
30d:
+1.13%
90d:
+12.36%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 10, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KGS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.27
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.30
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGS is currently trading at $67.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.19 to $72.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 22.8) compared to its historical average (20.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $73.03.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.50 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $73.03.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.50 (+23.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$66.19 -
$72.07
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.1% below Wall St target ($83.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.8% growth with 4.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.19 -
$72.07
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.82
Resistance Level
$73.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.75
Wall Street Target
$83.50
(+23.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.8% premium
PE vs Historical
22.8 vs 20.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.42
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$73.09
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$75.87
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$67.70
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$99.61
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$95.37
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 13.7%)
$81.06
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.20
Bull Case
$81.92
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$67.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$51.90
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pedro R Buhigas
SELL
13942 shares
2026-03-19
Ewan William Hamilton
SELL
5797 shares
2026-03-17
Cory Anne Roclawski
SELL
10852 shares
2026-03-16
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