Kodiak Gas Services (KGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGS - Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
$49.02
1.59 (3.35%)
▲
5d:
-2.1%
30d:
-10.37%
90d:
-24.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
Get Alerted When KGS Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$121.55
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$75.47
35.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGS is currently trading at $49.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.89 to $56.49. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (19.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 23.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.34, while resistance sits at $55.02. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.00 (+65.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $46.34, while resistance sits at $55.02. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 52/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $81.00 (+65.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$49.89 -
$56.49
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (52/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 65.2% below Wall St target ($81.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$49.89 -
$56.49
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.35
Resistance Level
$55.03
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.45
Wall Street Target
$81.00
(+65.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 19.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.15
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$41.58
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$38.30
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→20)
$49.07
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 24.7%)
$122.30
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 24.7%)
$95.16
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 24.7%)
$80.89
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 19.72 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.49
Bull Case
$59.19
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 20.7
Base Case
$49.02
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 19.7
Bear Case
$37.50
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 19.8
Stabilization Target:
$62.81
(+28.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 8:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:47 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is KGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
SLB
Schlumberger NV |
STRONG BUY
30 analysts |
$62 | 60 HOLD |
|
BKR
Baker Hughes Co |
STRONG BUY
25 analysts |
$71 | 68 BUY |
|
HAL
Halliburton Company |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$43 | 57 HOLD |
|
FTI
TechnipFMC PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$77 | 57 HOLD |
|
SEI
Solaris Energy Infrastru… |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$103 | 44 HOLD |
