KGS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KGS - Kodiak Gas Services, Inc.
$70.72
1.54 (2.23%)
▲
5d:
+2.37%
30d:
-3.59%
90d:
+26.51%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: KGS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$87.03
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$54.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KGS is currently trading at $70.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $66.49 to $72.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 23.8) compared to its historical average (20.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $73.03.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.07 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KGS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $64.82, while resistance sits at $73.03.
Market Sentiment: KGS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $84.07 (+18.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$66.49 -
$72.94
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($84.07)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.0% growth with 4.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$66.49 -
$72.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$64.82
Resistance Level
$73.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.84
Wall Street Target
$84.07
(+18.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.4%
Profit Margin
5.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.0% premium
PE vs Historical
23.8 vs 20.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$74.96
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$79.46
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$84.23
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$99.33
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$90.75
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 12.0%)
$77.14
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.58 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.31
Bull Case
$85.39
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.1
Base Case
$70.72
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.6
Bear Case
$54.10
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Pedro R Buhigas
SELL
13942 shares
2026-03-19
Ewan William Hamilton
SELL
5797 shares
2026-03-17
Cory Anne Roclawski
SELL
10852 shares
2026-03-16
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