KMDA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KMDA - Kamada Ltd
$7.39
-0.12 (-1.60%)
▼
5d:
-7.39%
30d:
-10.86%
90d:
-19.59%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KMDA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: KMDA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.49
35.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KMDA is currently trading at $7.39, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.71 to $8.29. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.1) compared to its historical average (15.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMDA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KMDA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+75.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KMDA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.36. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KMDA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+75.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$7.71 -
$8.29
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 75.9% below Wall St target ($13.00)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$7.71 -
$8.29
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.36
Resistance Level
$8.05
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.05
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+75.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.8%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 15.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.80
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$6.25
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$5.75
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$7.40
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 43.5%)
$39.68
(+437%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.0, Growth: 43.5%)
$21.82
(+195%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 43.5%)
$18.55
(+151%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.80 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.35
Bull Case
$15.38
(+96%)
Analyst growth 75.2%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case
$13.98
(+78%)
Market implied 75.2%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case
$5.43
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.0 to 15.5
Stabilization Target:
$9.51
(+28.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KMDA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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