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KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP (KNOP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$8.82
+0.22 (+2.56%) ▲
5d: +0.92% 30d: -12.33% 90d: -16.79%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$9.04 – $10.30
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.7x FAIR
vs 13.1x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$14.50
+64.4% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$8.06 / $9.97
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNOP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.06
Based on -2.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.01
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KNOP is currently trading at $8.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.04 to $10.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.7) is in line with its historical norms (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.06, while resistance sits at $9.97.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+64.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $9.04 - $10.30
Company Quality Score 48/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $9.04 - $10.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Support Level $8.06
Resistance Level $9.97
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 64.4% below Wall St target ($14.50)
  • WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 12.69
Wall Street Target $14.50 (+64.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -66.2%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 12.7 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $8.72 (-1%)
2-Year Target $8.63 (-2%)
3-Year Target $8.53 (-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→13) $8.81 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: -8.6%) $10.56 (+20%)
Base: (SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: -8.6%) $6.75 (-24%)
Bear: (PE: 10.8, Growth: -8.6%) $5.73 (-35%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 14.41 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.61
Bull Case $10.65 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case $8.82 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case $6.75 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.1
Stabilization Target: $9.10 (+3.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.2%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (KNOP)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Mar 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish StockTwits user expresses anticipation for an increased distribution from $KNOP, expressing confidence in the company's strategy and value proposition.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 5:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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