KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP (KNOP) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KNOP - KNOT OFFSHORE PARTNERS LP

Water Transportation
$11.23
-0.09 (-0.80%) ▼
5d: +0.0%
30d: +7.05%
90d: +5.64%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: KNOP shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$17.32
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$10.76
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KNOP is currently trading at $11.23, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.48 to $11.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KNOP is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $10.50, while resistance sits at $11.76.

Market Sentiment: KNOP scores 5/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.50 (+29.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.48 - $11.15
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 31.9%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (5/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.1% below Wall St target ($14.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.1% growth with 7.2% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.48 - $11.15
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $10.50
Resistance Level $11.76
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.16
Wall Street Target $14.50 (+29.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -59.5%
Profit Margin 4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.1% premium
PE vs Historical 16.2 vs 12.8 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $12.14 (+8%)
2-Year Target $13.12 (+17%)
3-Year Target $14.19 (+26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16→13) PE COMPRESSION $11.24 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.2, Growth: 215.9%) $47.31 (+321%)
Base: (SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 215.9%) $37.90 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 12.8, Growth: 215.9%) $30.02 (+167%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 47.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.24
Bull Case $24.90 (+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 51.9
Base Case $22.64 (+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 47.2
Bear Case $7.70 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 40.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 11:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:07 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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