KNSA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KNSA - Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc Class A Ordinary Shares
$76.27
-0.21 (-0.27%)
▼
5d:
-5.22%
30d:
-2.41%
90d:
+47.87%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 2, 2026 at $79.89 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: KNSA trades at premium valuation expecting 14.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: KNSA trades at premium valuation expecting 14.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.90
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KNSA is currently trading at $76.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $76.88 to $79.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 47.1) compared to its historical average (31.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNSA scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KNSA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: KNSA scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.00 (+28.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$76.88 -
$79.64
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding KNSA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.5% below Wall St target ($98.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.5% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$76.88 -
$79.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.12
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.00
Resistance Level
$81.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
47.15
Wall Street Target
$98.00
(+28.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.4%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.5% premium
PE vs Historical
47.2 vs 31.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.33
(+15%)
2-Year Target
$99.99
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$114.49
(+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 47→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$76.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 47.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$208.12
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$89.03
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$75.67
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (80x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (47x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 79.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.96
Bull Case
$141.75
(+86%)
Analyst growth 68.5%, PE expands to 87.6
Base Case
$128.86
(+69%)
Market implied 68.5%, PE stable at 79.7
Bear Case
$52.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 67.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KNSA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ross Moat
SELL
1703 shares
2026-04-09
Michael R Megna
SELL
6625 shares
2026-04-09
Barry D Quart
SELL
6901 shares
2026-04-06
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Advanced KNSA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's KNSA price and gamma walls.
