Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LBRT - Liberty Energy Inc.
$15.38
-1.31 (-7.85%)
▼
5d:
-7.9%
30d:
-15.82%
90d:
-11.41%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 19, 2026 at $16.53 · last confirmed Oct 22, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LBRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LBRT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$16.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$9.96
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LBRT is currently trading at $15.38, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.33 to $19.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 50.7) compared to its historical average (64.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LBRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LBRT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.46 (+70.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LBRT is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: LBRT scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.46 (+70.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.33 -
$19.55
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LBRT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 70.5% below Wall St target ($28.46)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.33 -
$19.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.17
Resistance Level
$19.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
50.67
Wall Street Target
$28.46
(+70.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.5%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
50.7 vs 64.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.40
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$14.22
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$13.12
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 51→65)
$16.71
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 50.7, Growth: 60.8%)
$56.33
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 60.8%)
$22.08
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 60.8%)
$18.77
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.41 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$9.12
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 24.7
Base Case
$8.29
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$11.27
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.7 to 64.5
Stabilization Target:
$21.25
(+27.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 4:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LBRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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Advanced LBRT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LBRT price and gamma walls.
