Liberty Energy (LBRT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LBRT - Liberty Energy Inc.

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$20.96
0.20 (0.96%) ▲
5d: +2.85%
30d: -2.92%
90d: -25.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 15, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 8, 2026 at $21.36 · last confirmed Sep 8, 2026

Strength: 7.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: LBRT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$11.25
Based on 9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.98
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LBRT is currently trading at $20.96, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.15 to $21.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 72.0) is in line with its historical norms (66.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LBRT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $18.67, while resistance sits at $22.27.

Market Sentiment: LBRT scores 19/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.62 (+36.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $19.15 - $21.36
Company Quality Score 35/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 46.2%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (19/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 36.6% below Wall St target ($28.62)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.6% growth with 14.0% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.15 - $21.36
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.67
Resistance Level $22.27
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 71.98
Wall Street Target $28.63 (+36.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.5%
Profit Margin 2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.6% premium
PE vs Historical 72.0 vs 66.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.50 (+3%)
2-Year Target $22.06 (+5%)
3-Year Target $22.64 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 72→67) PE COMPRESSION $20.98 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 72.0, Growth: 14.3%) $31.29 (+49%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 14.3%) $8.77 (-58%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 14.3%) $7.45 (-64%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.70
Bull Case $11.42 (-46%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 32.6
Base Case $10.38 (-51%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case $14.12 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:24 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced LBRT Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LBRT price and gamma walls.

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