LI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LI - Li Auto Inc. American Depositary Shares
$12.37
0.31 (2.57%)
â˛
5d:
+1.14%
30d:
-2.52%
90d:
-12.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 26, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.0% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.94
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.38
0.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LI is currently trading at $12.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.13 to $13.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.3) compared to its historical average (2.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.72, while resistance sits at $12.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.41 (+32.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LI is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.72, while resistance sits at $12.87.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.41 (+32.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.13 -
$13.11
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.7% below Wall St target ($16.41)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.13 -
$13.11
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.72
Resistance Level
$12.87
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Sep 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.26
Wall Street Target
$16.41
(+32.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-15.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.8%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.3 vs 2.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.88
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$11.40
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$10.94
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2â3)
$12.59
(+2%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.3 to 2.6
Stabilization Target:
$14.23
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 05, 2026 6:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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