Li Auto (LI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
Smart Money Distribution
Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $11.84 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Technical Outlook: Technically, LI is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LI scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.96 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Trading Range & Key Levels
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View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.96)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 21.0% growth with -15.1% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
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