LITB
LightInTheBox Holding Co., Ltd. American Depositary Shares, each representing twelve ordinary shares
Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses
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LITB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$2.63
+0.01 (+0.57%)
â˛
5d:
-1.87%
30d:
-10.85%
90d:
-12.33%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$2.62 â $2.96
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.5x
STRETCHED
vs 3.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.49
+108.7% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$2.19 / $2.97
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LITB is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 6.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$3.48
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$2.16
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LITB is currently trading at $2.63, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.62 to $2.96. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 4.5) compared to its historical average (3.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LITB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.19, while resistance sits at $2.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.49 (+108.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LITB is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.19, while resistance sits at $2.97.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.49 (+108.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$2.62 -
$2.96
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$2.62 -
$2.96
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$2.19
Resistance Level
$2.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 108.7% below Wall St target ($5.49)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with -3.5% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.46
Wall Street Target
$5.49
(+108.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-20.3%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
4.5 vs 3.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$2.79
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$2.96
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$3.14
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4â4)
PE COMPRESSION
$2.61
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 15.7%)
$18.14
(+590%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.5, Growth: 15.7%)
$4.07
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 15.7%)
$3.38
(+29%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (5x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 5.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.48
Bull Case
$3.54
(+34%)
Analyst growth 22.9%, PE expands to 6.0
Base Case
$3.21
(+22%)
Market implied 22.9%, PE stable at 5.5
Bear Case
$1.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 4.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:46 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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