Liquidity Services (LQDT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LQDT - Liquidity Services, Inc.

SERVICES-BUSINESS SERVICES, NEC
$43.13
1.00 (2.37%) ▲
5d: -0.23%
30d: +3.95%
90d: +10.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 9, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 19, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LQDT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.70
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.45
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LQDT is currently trading at $43.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.80 to $43.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LQDT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.89, while resistance sits at $45.00.

Market Sentiment: LQDT scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $51.00 (+18.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $41.80 - $43.46
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($51.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 64/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.80 - $43.46
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.42 (5.6%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.89
Resistance Level $45.00
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Oct 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.44
Wall Street Target $51.00 (+18.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 39.1%
Profit Margin 6.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.1% premium
PE vs Historical 23.4 vs 22.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $44.04 (+2%)
2-Year Target $44.96 (+4%)
3-Year Target $45.90 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 23→22) PE COMPRESSION $43.08 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 23.4, Growth: 11.5%) $59.81 (+39%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 11.5%) $50.68 (+18%)
Bear: (PE: 16.9, Growth: 11.5%) $43.07 (0%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.02
Bull Case $83.60 (+94%)
Analyst growth 80.4%, PE expands to 45.4
Base Case $76.00 (+76%)
Market implied 80.4%, PE stable at 41.3
Bear Case $28.65 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: October 12, 2026 4:00 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:00 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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