Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
$9.94
0.18 (1.84%)
▲
5d:
-5.96%
30d:
-4.97%
90d:
+2.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LSPD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LSPD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.27
19.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $9.94, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.15 to $10.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.0) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LSPD scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.66. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: LSPD scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $11.00 (+10.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$10.15 -
$10.67
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($11.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.15 -
$10.67
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.67
Resistance Level
$10.87
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.99
Wall Street Target
$11.00
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Profit Margin
-7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.86
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$9.78
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$9.70
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$9.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 38.3%)
$35.39
(+256%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 38.3%)
$26.30
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 38.3%)
$22.36
(+125%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.15
(+2.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 5:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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