LSPD Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Services-Prepackaged Software Best Software Stocks 2026 →

Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$10.22
-0.07 (-0.73%) β–Ό
5d: -11.63% 30d: -4.35% 90d: -6.8%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (53%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$10.08 – $11.12
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.5x FAIR
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$10.90
+6.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.76 / $11.73
Trend: Uptrend
πŸ’‘Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: LSPD is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.35
17.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $10.21, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.08 to $11.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.76, while resistance sits at $11.73.

Market Sentiment: LSPD scores 30/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $10.08 - $11.12
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $10.08 - $11.12
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level $9.76
Resistance Level $11.73
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 10, 2026

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Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (30/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.90)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 15.52
Wall Street Target $10.90 (+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.5%
Profit Margin -5.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.3% premium
PE vs Historical 15.5 vs 15.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $10.32 (+0%)
2-Year Target $10.35 (+1%)
3-Year Target $10.38 (+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 16β†’15) PE COMPRESSION $10.30 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 19.9, Growth: 38.3%) $34.85 (+239%)
Base: (SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 38.3%) $27.23 (+165%)
Bear: (PE: 13.2, Growth: 38.3%) $23.15 (+125%)
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LSPD)

Bullish 2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 26, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: StockTwits users express bullish sentiment towards $LSPD with no new news articles available.
Key Retail Themes: Anticipation for potential price increase
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:24 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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