Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
$11.05
0.11 (0.96%)
▲
5d:
+1.42%
30d:
+15.17%
90d:
+11.45%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LSPD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LSPD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.27
10.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $11.04, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.62 to $10.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSPD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.26. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LSPD scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.62 -
$10.67
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
24.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.62 -
$10.67
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.16
Resistance Level
$11.26
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.50
Wall Street Target
$10.85
(-0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Profit Margin
-7.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.21
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$11.49
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$11.78
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.93
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 38.3%)
$34.85
(+219%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 38.3%)
$28.95
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.0, Growth: 38.3%)
$24.61
(+125%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 10:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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