Is LSPD stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, LSPD is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: LSPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of LSPD stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for LSPD to be between $9.62 and $10.46. The current price is $9.68.

What is the analyst price target for LSPD?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for LSPD is $10.85. This implies a potential upside of 12.0% from current levels.

Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.

Services-Prepackaged Software

$9.68

-0.09 (-0.92%) ▼

5d: +0.1%

30d: -4.63%

90d: -10.37%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Nov 05, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LSPD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$19.76

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$12.27

21.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $9.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.62 to $10.46. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $9.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LSPD scores 76/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.85 (+12.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Historical Trading Range $9.62 - $10.46

Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 81.0%

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (76/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($10.85)
CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 19% over 20 days — wait for relative strength

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $9.62 - $10.46

Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.38

Resistance Level $9.97

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Oct 1, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.60

Wall Street Target $10.85 (+12.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.8%

Profit Margin -7.8%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.5% cheaper

PE vs Historical 14.6 vs 15.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $9.53 (-2%)

2-Year Target $9.39 (-3%)

3-Year Target $9.25 (-4%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→15) $9.70 (+0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 38.3%) $35.80 (+270%)

Base: (SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 38.3%) $25.62 (+165%)

Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: 38.3%) $21.77 (+125%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 15.3

Stabilization Target: $10.15 (+4.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +4.8%

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Last updated: October 02, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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