LSPD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LSPD - Lightspeed Commerce Inc.
$10.11
0.45 (4.66%)
▲
5d:
+2.02%
30d:
-6.39%
90d:
+9.3%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LSPD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.27
17.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LSPD is currently trading at $10.11, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.75 to $10.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.30, while resistance sits at $11.09. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LSPD is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.30, while resistance sits at $11.09. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.75 -
$10.63
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($10.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.75 -
$10.63
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.31
Resistance Level
$11.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.25
Wall Street Target
$10.73
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.7%
Profit Margin
-11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.3 vs 15.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.10
(0%)
2-Year Target
$10.09
(0%)
3-Year Target
$10.08
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$10.12
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 38.3%)
$36.38
(+260%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 38.3%)
$26.75
(+165%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.0, Growth: 38.3%)
$22.74
(+125%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.2 to 15.3
Stabilization Target:
$10.15
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LSPD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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