LW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$52.55
-1.00 (-1.87%)
▼
5d:
+5.99%
30d:
+17.98%
90d:
+20.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 30, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.73
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.85
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $52.55, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.11 to $50.24. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.03, while resistance sits at $55.69.
Market Sentiment: LW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $45.03, while resistance sits at $55.69.
Market Sentiment: LW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.11 -
$50.24
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.7% growth with 5.6% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.11 -
$50.24
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.03
Resistance Level
$55.69
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.44
Wall Street Target
$55.25
(+5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 14.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.55
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$58.71
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$62.06
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$52.30
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$76.33
(+45%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$64.22
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.7, Growth: 6.9%)
$54.13
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$85.32
(+62%)
Analyst growth 44.9%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$77.57
(+48%)
Market implied 44.9%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$36.41
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:20 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-15
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-13
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-08
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