Lamb Weston (LW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$55.18
2.07 (3.90%)
▲
5d:
+1.79%
30d:
+22.51%
90d:
+11.29%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.70
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.07
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $55.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.97 to $52.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.3) compared to its historical average (15.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: LW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $55.44. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: LW scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.97 -
$52.03
Company Quality Score
32/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.9%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.4% growth with 0.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 32/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.97 -
$52.03
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$47.75
Resistance Level
$55.44
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.31
Wall Street Target
$56.00
(+1.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.3%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.4% premium
PE vs Historical
18.3 vs 15.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.71
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$62.47
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$66.47
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$73.13
(+33%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$67.44
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 6.9%)
$55.97
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 29.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$96.18
(+74%)
Analyst growth 64.6%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$87.44
(+59%)
Market implied 64.6%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$36.11
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 7:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LW price and gamma walls.
