LW
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
Lamb Weston (LW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$56.87
-0.24 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
+0.48%
30d:
+9.45%
90d:
+5.75%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Dec 18, 2026
Protect LW Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
42/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$50.06 – $56.23
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
18.9x
STRETCHED
vs 15.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$55.69
-2.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$52.91 / $57.62
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 4, 2026 at $56.60 · last confirmed Nov 6, 2026
Strength: 4.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.48
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $56.87, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.06 to $56.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.9) compared to its historical average (15.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LW scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.62. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LW scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$50.06 -
$56.23
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$50.06 -
$56.23
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$52.91
Resistance Level
$57.62
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding LW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.0% growth with 0.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.88
Wall Street Target
$55.69
(-2.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-54.3%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.0% premium
PE vs Historical
18.9 vs 15.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$60.85
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$65.11
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$69.67
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$56.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$73.13
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$69.50
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$56.71
(0%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$103.43
(+82%)
Analyst growth 64.6%, PE expands to 34.3
Base Case
$94.03
(+65%)
Market implied 64.6%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case
$38.83
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LW)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 12, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message highlights that Americans consume a significant amount of French fries, representing 25% of all vegetable servings and 4.5 billion pounds annually. No recent news articles were identified.
Key Retail Themes:
US French fries consumption
Americans' vegetable consumption
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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