LW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$44.88
1.20 (2.75%)
▲
5d:
-1.19%
30d:
+4.84%
90d:
+9.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
28d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.44
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.67
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $44.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.19 to $44.50. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $43.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$42.19 -
$44.50
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.19 -
$44.50
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.23
Resistance Level
$43.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.94
Wall Street Target
$46.50
(+3.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.2%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.15
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$45.42
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$45.69
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.97
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$79.70
(+78%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 6.8%)
$54.66
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.7, Growth: 6.8%)
$46.46
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.74 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$68.54
(+57%)
Analyst growth 41.1%, PE expands to 22.8
Base Case
$62.31
(+43%)
Market implied 41.1%, PE stable at 20.7
Bear Case
$30.04
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-15
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-13
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-08
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LW price and gamma walls.
