Lamb Weston (LW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$43.60
2.42 (5.88%)
▲
5d:
+0.05%
30d:
-16.81%
90d:
-5.4%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 06, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: LW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$59.31
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.82
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $43.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.07 to $52.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.5) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.66, while resistance sits at $47.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.33 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $40.66, while resistance sits at $47.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.33 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.07 -
$52.71
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($54.33)
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.07 -
$52.71
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.66
Resistance Level
$47.96
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.47
Wall Street Target
$54.33
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.99
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$42.39
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$41.79
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$43.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$75.12
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 6.9%)
$53.29
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 6.9%)
$45.29
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$66.43
(+61%)
Analyst growth 44.9%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$60.39
(+47%)
Market implied 44.9%, PE stable at 20.0
Bear Case
$28.35
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$45.49
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
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2026-04-15
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BUY
100000 shares
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BUY
100000 shares
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