LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$17.31
-0.25 (-1.42%)
▼
5d:
+3.59%
30d:
+14.48%
90d:
+36.41%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LXFR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LXFR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.67
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.04
9.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $17.31, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.64 to $16.79. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.16, while resistance sits at $18.04.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $15.16, while resistance sits at $18.04.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.50 (+18.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$14.64 -
$16.79
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($20.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with -13.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.64 -
$16.79
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.16
Resistance Level
$18.04
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.23
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(+18.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.83
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$18.36
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$18.92
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 24.7%)
$60.07
(+247%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 24.7%)
$33.54
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.4, Growth: 24.7%)
$28.51
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.79 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$36.76
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$33.42
(+95%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 39.8
Bear Case
$11.36
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 6:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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