LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$17.20
0.08 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
+0.7%
30d:
+0.76%
90d:
+8.11%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LXFR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LXFR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.6% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.82
13.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $17.20, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.78 to $17.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$16.78 -
$17.24
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.78 -
$17.24
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.08
Resistance Level
$17.21
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.07
Wall Street Target
$18.75
(+9.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.6%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.6% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.48
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.75
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$18.04
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$77.98
(+353%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$46.90
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 39.7%)
$39.86
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$37.66
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.4
Base Case
$34.24
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.9
Bear Case
$11.64
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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