LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$17.14
0.11 (0.65%)
▲
5d:
+0.12%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
+11.66%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LXFR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LXFR shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.11
Based on 10.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $17.14, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.63 to $17.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $17.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LXFR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.50 (+13.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.63 -
$17.80
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.63 -
$17.80
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.29
Resistance Level
$17.40
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.11
Wall Street Target
$19.50
(+13.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.6%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.45
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.76
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$18.08
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.17
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 16.0%)
$45.77
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 16.0%)
$26.74
(+56%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 16.0%)
$22.73
(+33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$37.47
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$34.06
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.8
Bear Case
$11.58
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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