LXFR
Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$17.34
+0.01 (+0.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.23%
30d:
+0.52%
90d:
+1.52%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (50%)
Quality Score
55/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$17.23 – $17.30
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.2x
FAIR
vs 11.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$16.70
-3.7% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$17.17 / $17.36
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: LXFR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.47
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.16
14.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $17.34, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.23 to $17.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $17.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 59/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.23 -
$17.30
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$17.23 -
$17.30
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$17.17
Resistance Level
$17.36
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (59/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($16.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.5% growth with -4.1% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (59/100) — watch for confirmation
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.17
Wall Street Target
$16.70
(-3.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-70.0%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.5% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 11.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.60
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.86
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$18.13
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.43
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 79.2%)
$95.51
(+451%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.2, Growth: 79.2%)
$58.52
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 79.2%)
$49.74
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.33 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.30
Bull Case
$20.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.0
Base Case
$17.34
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.3
Bear Case
$13.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (LXFR)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Trader on StockTwits expresses bullish sentiment ahead of $LXFR earnings report, citing the company's solid earnings history. No recent news articles available.
Key Retail Themes:
Earnings report
Earnings history
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:39 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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