LXFR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LXFR - Luxfer Holdings PLC Ordinary Shares
$17.30
0.02 (0.12%)
▲
5d:
+0.64%
30d:
+1.29%
90d:
-3.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 27, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LXFR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LXFR is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.7% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$31.91
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.82
12.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LXFR is currently trading at $17.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.09 to $17.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.1) is in line with its historical norms (11.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LXFR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 57/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.09 -
$17.22
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (57/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (57/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.09 -
$17.22
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.15
Resistance Level
$17.36
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.14
Wall Street Target
$18.75
(+8.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
84.6%
Profit Margin
2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.1 vs 11.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.59
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.89
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$18.20
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.24
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$78.37
(+353%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.1, Growth: 39.7%)
$47.17
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.3, Growth: 39.7%)
$40.10
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$38.02
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.8
Base Case
$34.56
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.3
Bear Case
$11.75
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 5:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LXFR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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