Manhattan Associates (MANH) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MANH - Manhattan Associates Inc
$204.15
5.45 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
-2.61%
30d:
-5.58%
90d:
+35.16%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MANH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MANH trades at premium valuation expecting 6.5% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$224.25
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MANH is currently trading at $204.15, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.10 to $217.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.2) compared to its historical average (27.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.5% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $196.79, while resistance sits at $213.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $196.79, while resistance sits at $213.30.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 56/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$204.10 -
$217.70
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MANH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (56/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($220.70)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.5% growth with 9.3% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (56/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$204.10 -
$217.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$14.26
(7.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$196.80
Resistance Level
$213.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.23
Wall Street Target
$220.70
(+8.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.6%
Profit Margin
18.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.5% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 27.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$217.42
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$231.55
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$246.60
(+21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→28)
PE COMPRESSION
$204.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 11.8%)
$285.13
(+40%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.8%)
$175.03
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 11.8%)
$148.78
(-27%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.32 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.06
Bull Case
$246.51
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.3
Base Case
$204.15
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.3
Bear Case
$156.17
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MANH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Stewart Gantt
SELL
7300 shares
2026-04-24
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Advanced MANH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MANH price and gamma walls.
