MCHP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MCHP - Microchip Technology Inc
$94.09
-8.62 (-8.39%)
▼
5d:
-6.21%
30d:
+3.27%
90d:
+46.24%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
Get Alerted When MCHP Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MCHP trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MCHP trades at premium valuation expecting 4.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.61
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MCHP is currently trading at $94.09, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $91.14 to $97.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 38.6) compared to its historical average (33.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCHP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.28, while resistance sits at $104.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MCHP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MCHP is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $85.28, while resistance sits at $104.03. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MCHP has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$91.14 -
$97.94
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MCHP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($112.96)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.9% growth with 35.1% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$91.14 -
$97.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.28
Resistance Level
$104.03
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.58
Wall Street Target
$112.96
(+10.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.6%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.9% premium
PE vs Historical
38.6 vs 33.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.74
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$113.02
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$118.56
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$102.95
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.6, Growth: 69.7%)
$346.65
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 69.7%)
$195.70
(+91%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 69.7%)
$166.34
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 32.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $3.19
Bull Case
$124.02
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 33.8
Base Case
$102.71
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 32.2
Bear Case
$78.57
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 1:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:00 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MCHP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-06
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-05
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$299 | 62 BUY |
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$524 | 53 HOLD |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$239 | 59 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$946 | 61 BUY |
|
NXPI
NXP Semiconductors NV |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$304 | 60 HOLD |
Advanced MCHP Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MCHP price and gamma walls.
