MD
Pediatrix Medical Group, Inc.
SERVICES-HOSPITALS
Pediatrix Medical Group (MD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$31.45
-0.17 (-0.54%)
▼
5d:
-4.12%
30d:
+18.19%
90d:
+19.26%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (27%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$26.77 – $30.83
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
12.7x
STRETCHED
vs 10.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$30.08
-4.3% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$28.90 / $33.74
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.47
Based on 3.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MD is currently trading at $31.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.77 to $30.83. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.7) compared to its historical average (10.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.90, while resistance sits at $33.74.
Market Sentiment: MD scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $28.90, while resistance sits at $33.74.
Market Sentiment: MD scores 24/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.77 -
$30.83
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$26.77 -
$30.83
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$28.90
Resistance Level
$33.74
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (24/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($30.08)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.8% growth with 1.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.72
Wall Street Target
$30.08
(-4.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-29.8%
Profit Margin
7.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
12.7 vs 10.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.90
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$36.55
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$39.40
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.60
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 3.7%)
$54.77
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 3.7%)
$35.07
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.2, Growth: 3.7%)
$28.13
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.83
Bull Case
$47.00
(+50%)
Analyst growth 35.1%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$42.73
(+36%)
Market implied 35.1%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$21.50
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MD)
Bullish
3 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Pediatrix Medical Group reported stronger-than-expected earnings for Q3 2023, with adjusted EPS of $0.72 versus the estimated $0.65, leading to a positive response from traders on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes:
earnings beat
positive trader sentiment
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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