MIDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIDD - Middleby Corp
$134.92
-0.75 (-0.55%)
▼
5d:
-24.71%
30d:
-12.25%
90d:
-5.67%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MIDD is down 24.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MIDD is down 24.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.51
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.10
8.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIDD is currently trading at $134.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $149.30 to $173.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $150.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.89 (+42.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $150.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $191.89 (+42.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$149.30 -
$173.11
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MIDD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.2% below Wall St target ($191.89)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -24.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$149.30 -
$173.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$150.01
Resistance Level
$162.31
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.45
Wall Street Target
$191.89
(+42.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
-12.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 14.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$127.77
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$121.00
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$114.58
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→15)
$135.31
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$339.33
(+152%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 12.9%)
$193.95
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 12.9%)
$164.86
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.29
Bull Case
$221.88
(+64%)
Analyst growth 48.7%, PE expands to 20.5
Base Case
$201.71
(+50%)
Market implied 48.7%, PE stable at 18.6
Bear Case
$92.26
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$159.32
(+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 2:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-18
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-17
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-11
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Advanced MIDD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MIDD price and gamma walls.
