MIDD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MIDD - Middleby Corp
$163.77
-2.88 (-1.73%)
▼
5d:
+0.15%
30d:
+12.79%
90d:
+18.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MIDD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MIDD shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$238.74
Based on 8.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$148.24
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIDD is currently trading at $163.77, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $146.88 to $161.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.1) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $162.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIDD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.33 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $162.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MIDD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $196.33 (+19.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$146.88 -
$161.42
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($196.33)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.0% growth with 15.0% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$146.88 -
$161.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$150.01
Resistance Level
$162.31
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.10
Wall Street Target
$196.33
(+19.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.2%
Profit Margin
-12.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$165.41
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$167.06
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$168.73
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$164.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$340.17
(+108%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 12.9%)
$235.78
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 12.9%)
$200.41
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.29
Bull Case
$272.80
(+67%)
Analyst growth 48.8%, PE expands to 25.2
Base Case
$248.00
(+51%)
Market implied 48.8%, PE stable at 22.9
Bear Case
$113.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MIDD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-18
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-17
April McClain Delaney
SELL
2026-02-11
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