MIDD
Middleby Corp
REFRIGERATION & SERVICE INDUSTRY MACHINERY
Middleby (MIDD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$136.10
-2.17 (-1.57%)
▼
5d:
+6.7%
30d:
+27.84%
90d:
+16.3%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
0d
Protect MIDD Gains
Updated Nov 11, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
23/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$105.10 – $127.04
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.7x
FAIR
vs 14.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$159.56
+17.2% upside
Options IV & Volume
100th pct IV
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$114.07 / $141.43
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MIDD shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.33
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$111.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MIDD is currently trading at $136.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.10 to $127.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.7) compared to its historical average (14.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.07, while resistance sits at $141.43.
Market Sentiment: MIDD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.56 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MIDD is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $114.07, while resistance sits at $141.43.
Market Sentiment: MIDD scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Implied Volatility is high (100th percentile), indicating expensive options premiums. This environment often favors selling options or covered calls to generate income. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $159.56 (+17.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$105.10 -
$127.04
Company Quality Score
23/100
(STRONG SELL)
Options IV Signal
100th percentile
(EVENT RISK)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$105.10 -
$127.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$30.59
(22.5%)
Support Level
$114.07
Resistance Level
$141.43
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Protect Your Profits
MIDD is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.1% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Options expensive (IV 100th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($159.56)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.6% growth with -33.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 23/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.68
Wall Street Target
$159.56
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-33.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.3%
Profit Margin
1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
16.7 vs 14.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$142.36
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$148.91
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$155.76
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$136.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 13.4%)
$236.38
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.7, Growth: 13.4%)
$198.56
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.2, Growth: 13.4%)
$168.78
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.60
Bull Case
$269.74
(+98%)
Analyst growth 77.3%, PE expands to 33.1
Base Case
$245.22
(+80%)
Market implied 77.3%, PE stable at 30.1
Bear Case
$94.02
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 25.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MIDD)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
May 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A bullish StockTwits message suggests untapped value in $MIDD, despite a lack of recent news coverage.
Key Retail Themes:
Undervalued Stock
Increasing Attention
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 7:24 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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