MKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKC - McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS
$47.59
1.86 (4.06%)
▲
5d:
-0.6%
30d:
+1.33%
90d:
-10.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 25, 2026
1d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MKC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MKC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$78.58
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$48.79
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKC is currently trading at $47.59, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.29 to $48.20. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (17.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 528.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.53, while resistance sits at $49.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.23 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.53, while resistance sits at $49.49. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.23 (+33.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$46.29 -
$48.20
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MKC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.9% below Wall St target ($61.23)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.29 -
$48.20
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.53
Resistance Level
$49.49
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.71
Wall Street Target
$61.23
(+33.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
528.3%
Profit Margin
23.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.7 vs 17.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.03
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$38.62
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$35.49
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$45.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.8%)
$90.98
(+99%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 7.8%)
$57.28
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 7.8%)
$48.69
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.10
Bull Case
$28.05
(-39%)
Analyst growth -45.3%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$25.50
(-44%)
Market implied -45.3%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$31.72
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 17.7
Stabilization Target:
$59.02
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 2:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gavin Hattersley
BUY
2000 shares
2026-04-10
Lawrence Erik Kurzius
SELL
50000 shares
2026-02-12
Michael D Mangan
SELL
5000 shares
2026-02-09
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Advanced MKC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MKC price and gamma walls.
