Is MKC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MKC is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MKC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MKC to be between $47.66 and $53.88. The current price is $44.67.

What is the analyst price target for MKC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MKC is $58.46. This implies a potential upside of 30.9% from current levels.

MKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKC - McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS

MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS

$44.67

0.53 (1.20%) ▲

5d: -6.82%

30d: -16.97%

90d: -13.73%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MKC Gains

Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 01, 2026 0d

Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Oct 2, 2026 at $44.67 · last confirmed Oct 2, 2026

Strength: 6.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 5.6%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$69.98

Based on 4.8% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$43.45

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKC is currently trading at $44.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.66 to $53.88. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.7) compared to its historical average (17.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $43.25, while resistance sits at $49.77.

Market Sentiment: MKC scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $58.46 (+30.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $47.66 - $53.88

Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 30.9% below Wall St target ($58.46)
WARNING: Composite score 44/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $47.66 - $53.88

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $43.25

Resistance Level $49.77

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Oct 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.72

Wall Street Target $58.46 (+30.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -14.2%

Profit Margin 21.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 17.0 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $41.59 (-7%)

2-Year Target $38.72 (-13%)

3-Year Target $36.05 (-19%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→17) $44.68 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.4, Growth: 5.6%) $78.13 (+75%)

Base: (SPY PE: 13.7, Growth: 5.6%) $52.53 (+18%)

Bear: (PE: 11.7, Growth: 5.6%) $44.65 (0%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 7.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.01

Bull Case $26.31 (-41%)

Analyst growth -45.8%, PE expands to 8.1

Base Case $23.92 (-47%)

Market implied -45.8%, PE stable at 7.3

Bear Case $30.02 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.7 to 17.0

Stabilization Target: $55.36 (+23.9%)

PE Expansion Potential: +23.9%

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Last updated: October 03, 2026 4:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:36 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS BUYING

Recent Transactions

Gavin Hattersley BUY 2000 shares 2026-04-10

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