MKC
McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS
MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS
MKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$46.41
-0.53 (-1.13%)
âŧ
5d:
-7.29%
30d:
+3.59%
90d:
-15.11%
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70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 01, 2026
0d
Protect MKC Gains
Updated Nov 12, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (70%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$45.39 â $48.39
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
14.5x
CHEAP
vs 16.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$54.10
+16.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.57 / $51.41
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKC is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.7% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 6, 2026 at $48.20 · last confirmed Nov 12, 2026
Strength: 5.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.36
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.58
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKC is currently trading at $46.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.39 to $48.39. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.10 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.57. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 48/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $54.10 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$45.39 -
$48.39
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$45.39 -
$48.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$45.57
Resistance Level
$51.41
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MKC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (48/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($54.10)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.46
Wall Street Target
$54.10
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-57.1%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.5 vs 16.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.23
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$42.15
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$40.17
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14â17)
$46.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 4.1%)
$71.84
(+55%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 4.1%)
$52.32
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 4.1%)
$44.47
(-4%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.56
Bull Case
$29.80
(-36%)
Analyst growth -42.3%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$27.09
(-42%)
Market implied -42.3%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$31.92
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.5 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$53.59
(+15.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.5%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MKC)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 10, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Bullish sentiment on StockTwits regarding $MKC's $50 subscription, driven by optimism towards McCormick's global staple demand and dividend history as highlighted in a Yahoo Finance article on defensive dividend stocks.
Key Retail Themes:
Global staple demand
Dividend history
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 8:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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