MarketWise (MKTW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKTW - MarketWise, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$19.38
0.18 (0.94%)
â˛
5d:
-2.1%
30d:
+7.31%
90d:
-6.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKTW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: MKTW is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -0.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.14
19.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKTW is currently trading at $19.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.11 to $19.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $19.19. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.76 (+22.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$18.11 -
$19.81
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($23.76)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.11 -
$19.81
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.19
Resistance Level
$20.65
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 13, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.41
Wall Street Target
$23.76
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 6.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.22
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$19.07
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$18.92
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â7)
$19.49
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 380.2%)
$202.76
(+946%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.4, Growth: 380.2%)
$65.41
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.4, Growth: 380.2%)
$55.60
(+187%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.82 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.88
Bull Case
$42.24
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.0
Base Case
$38.40
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$13.06
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 6.6
Stabilization Target:
$19.96
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 14, 2026 9:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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