MKTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MKTW - MarketWise, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$16.53
-0.61 (-3.53%)
▼
5d:
-5.92%
30d:
-1.37%
90d:
+10.64%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MKTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MKTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$39.87
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$24.76
33.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MKTW is currently trading at $16.53, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.58 to $18.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.8) compared to its historical average (5.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKTW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.85 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MKTW is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MKTW has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.85 (+38.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$16.58 -
$18.25
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 38.2% below Wall St target ($22.85)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.58 -
$18.25
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.50
Resistance Level
$18.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.76
Wall Street Target
$22.85
(+38.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-28.8%
Profit Margin
1.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.8 vs 5.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.34
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$14.24
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$13.21
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 5→6)
$16.36
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 112.9%)
$256.59
(+1452%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.8, Growth: 112.9%)
$55.79
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.0, Growth: 112.9%)
$47.42
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (5x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.67
Bull Case
$38.65
(+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$35.14
(+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.5
Bear Case
$11.95
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.8 to 5.9
Stabilization Target:
$20.47
(+23.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MKTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Erik Mickels
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-23
Frank Porter Stansberry
BUY
17270 shares
2026-03-20
Erik Mickels
SELL
3334 shares
2026-03-19
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