MNTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNTN - MNTN, Inc.
$9.22
-0.01 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+7.46%
30d:
-15.02%
90d:
-2.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
TODAY
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNTN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MNTN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.00
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.04
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNTN is currently trading at $9.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.72 to $10.61. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (9.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNTN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.18, while resistance sits at $9.81.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+116.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNTN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $8.18, while resistance sits at $9.81.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+116.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$8.72 -
$10.61
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
38th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 38th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 116.7% below Wall St target ($20.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.72 -
$10.61
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.28
(13.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$8.18
Resistance Level
$9.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.67
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+116.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.2%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 9.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$8.48
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$7.80
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$7.16
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→10)
$9.25
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 20.3%)
$43.55
(+372%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: 20.3%)
$16.05
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.5, Growth: 20.3%)
$13.64
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.39
Bull Case
$9.11
(-1%)
Analyst growth -13.4%, PE expands to 7.6
Base Case
$8.28
(-10%)
Market implied -13.4%, PE stable at 6.9
Bear Case
$6.50
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.7 to 9.9
Stabilization Target:
$11.91
(+29.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+29.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 8:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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