MPLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MPLX - MPLX LP
$55.26
-0.42 (-0.75%)
▼
5d:
-0.81%
30d:
-3.34%
90d:
-6.18%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.6/10
Get Alerted When MPLX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MPLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MPLX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.44
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.47
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MPLX is currently trading at $55.26, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $54.69 to $56.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPLX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MPLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MPLX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $54.32. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MPLX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$54.69 -
$56.22
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.71)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$54.69 -
$56.22
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$54.32
Resistance Level
$57.28
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.19
Wall Street Target
$60.71
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-18.4%
Profit Margin
40.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$54.60
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$53.94
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$53.29
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$55.24
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.9%)
$135.96
(+146%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 7.9%)
$69.44
(+26%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 7.9%)
$59.03
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.06 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.62
Bull Case
$65.50
(+18%)
Analyst growth 6.9%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$59.55
(+7%)
Market implied 6.9%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$37.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.2 to 11.6
Stabilization Target:
$57.28
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 12:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:42 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is MPLX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Midstream by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$303 | 56 HOLD |
|
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$274 | 56 HOLD |
|
ET
Energy Transfer LP |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$23 | 59 HOLD |
|
VNOM
Viper Energy Ut |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$58 | 56 HOLD |
|
TRP
TC Energy Corp |
BUY
23 analysts |
$63 | 54 HOLD |
Advanced MPLX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MPLX price and gamma walls.
