MSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MSTR - Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A

FINANCE SERVICES
$97.10
2.27 (2.39%) ▲
5d: +0.26%
30d: -0.38%
90d: -45.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $100.01 · last confirmed Aug 13, 2026

Strength: 7.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MSTR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 41.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.62
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.95
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MSTR is currently trading at $97.10, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.77 to $98.91. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 18.2) compared to its historical average (6.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 41.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $89.21, while resistance sits at $105.50.

Market Sentiment: MSTR scores 39/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.07 (+141.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $93.77 - $98.91
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.3%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (39/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 141.6% below Wall St target ($229.07)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 41.8% growth with 6.9% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $93.77 - $98.91
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $89.21
Resistance Level $105.50
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 18.24
Wall Street Target $229.07 (+141.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -77.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +41.8% premium
PE vs Historical 18.2 vs 6.4 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +41.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $134.47 (+42%)
2-Year Target $190.68 (+101%)
3-Year Target $270.38 (+185%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→6) PE COMPRESSION $94.87 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 13, 2026 11:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:03 AM
đŸ”Ĩ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jarrod M Patten SELL 2000 shares 2026-04-22
Jarrod M Patten SELL 500 shares 2026-04-21
Jarrod M Patten SELL 1500 shares 2026-04-20

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Advanced MSTR Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSTR price and gamma walls.

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