MSTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSTR - Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
$109.46
-3.07 (-2.73%)
▼
5d:
-11.7%
30d:
-33.98%
90d:
-19.31%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSTR is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSTR is down 11.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.82
Based on -16.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$19.14
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSTR is currently trading at $109.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.76 to $163.51. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 7.7) compared to its historical average (5.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $114.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.54 (+221.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $114.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MSTR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $351.54 (+221.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$118.76 -
$163.51
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MSTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 221.2% below Wall St target ($351.54)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 11.1% growth with 11.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.76 -
$163.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.21
Resistance Level
$162.06
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.68
Wall Street Target
$351.54
(+221.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.1% premium
PE vs Historical
7.7 vs 5.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.61
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$135.11
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$150.11
(+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$109.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -36.2%)
$226.22
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.7, Growth: -36.2%)
$79.80
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.6, Growth: -36.2%)
$58.17
(-47%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 9:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
14
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-21
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-20
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Advanced MSTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSTR price and gamma walls.
