Strategy (MSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$111.62
-2.79 (-2.44%)
▼
5d:
-13.43%
30d:
-26.22%
90d:
+14.27%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
0d
Protect MSTR Gains
Updated Nov 13, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$127.07 – $153.53
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
5.9x
CHEAP
vs 8.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$233.27
+109.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$108.25 / $146.07
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MSTR is down 13.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $129.45 · last confirmed Nov 9, 2026
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$211.26
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$131.18
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSTR is currently trading at $111.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $127.07 to $153.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.9) compared to its historical average (8.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 431.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.25, while resistance sits at $146.07.
Market Sentiment: MSTR scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.27 (+109.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.25, while resistance sits at $146.07.
Market Sentiment: MSTR scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $233.27 (+109.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$127.07 -
$153.53
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$127.07 -
$153.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$108.25
Resistance Level
$146.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 13, 2026
Protect Your Profits
Holding MSTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanQuantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 109.0% below Wall St target ($233.27)
- WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.92
Wall Street Target
$233.27
(+109.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
431.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.9 vs 8.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.90
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$91.22
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$82.46
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→8)
$111.39
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.9 to 8.0
Stabilization Target:
$150.78
(+35.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.1%
Share MSTR Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MSTR)
Bullish
15 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
2
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
13 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 14, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Wall Street's AI trade suffered losses due to political uncertainty and inflation, with Strategy (MSTR) ranked as a potential multibagger. The Fed is expected to raise interest rates in December.
Key Retail Themes:
AI industry downturn
Fed interest rate hike
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 14, 2026 5:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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