Strategy (MSTR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MSTR - Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A
$160.01
-0.49 (-0.31%)
▼
5d:
+0.88%
30d:
+29.89%
90d:
+58.79%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MSTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MSTR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$141.59
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.92
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MSTR is currently trading at $160.01, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $126.88 to $157.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.2) compared to its historical average (7.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $152.02, while resistance sits at $171.19.
Market Sentiment: MSTR scores 11/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.87 (+43.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MSTR is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $152.02, while resistance sits at $171.19.
Market Sentiment: MSTR scores 11/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $229.87 (+43.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$126.88 -
$157.07
Company Quality Score
35/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
31.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MSTR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (11/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 43.7% below Wall St target ($229.87)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 16.7% growth with 6.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 35/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$126.88 -
$157.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$152.02
Resistance Level
$171.19
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.19
Wall Street Target
$229.87
(+43.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-77.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.7% premium
PE vs Historical
12.2 vs 7.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$186.73
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$217.92
(+36%)
3-Year Target
$254.31
(+59%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$160.60
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MSTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
2000 shares
2026-04-22
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
500 shares
2026-04-21
Jarrod M Patten
SELL
1500 shares
2026-04-20
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Advanced MSTR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MSTR price and gamma walls.
