The Manitowoc (MTW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$23.22
0.82 (3.66%)
▲
5d:
+4.88%
30d:
+14.84%
90d:
+80.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.28
Based on -3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.63
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $23.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.66 to $21.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 25.4) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.56. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.66 -
$21.99
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.6% above its trading range)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BEARISH: Trading 39.7% above Wall St target ($14.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 16.3% growth expectation is conservative given 875% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.66 -
$21.99
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.14
Resistance Level
$23.56
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.35
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(-39.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
875.0%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.3% premium
PE vs Historical
25.4 vs 16.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.00
(+16%)
2-Year Target
$31.41
(+35%)
3-Year Target
$36.53
(+57%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$23.20
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.3, Growth: -10.9%)
$23.14
(+0%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: -10.9%)
$18.63
(-20%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: -10.9%)
$14.70
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.58
Bull Case
$38.91
(+68%)
Analyst growth 57.9%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case
$35.38
(+52%)
Market implied 57.9%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$15.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 6:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:13 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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