The Manitowoc (MTW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$22.24
0.09 (0.41%)
▲
5d:
+3.25%
30d:
+3.78%
90d:
+52.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTW trades at premium valuation expecting 16.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MTW trades at premium valuation expecting 16.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.15
Based on -2.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.54
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $22.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.36 to $22.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 26.7) compared to its historical average (16.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 16.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.86. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $14.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$21.36 -
$22.82
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 37.1% above Wall St target ($14.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 16.9% growth expectation is conservative given 875% recent growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (55/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$21.36 -
$22.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.05
Resistance Level
$22.86
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
26.73
Wall Street Target
$14.00
(-37.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
875.0%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+16.9% premium
PE vs Historical
26.7 vs 16.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+16.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.00
(+17%)
2-Year Target
$30.39
(+37%)
3-Year Target
$35.53
(+60%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.33
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 26.7, Growth: -9.3%)
$16.61
(+-25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: -9.3%)
$12.34
(-45%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: -9.3%)
$10.44
(-53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.54
Bull Case
$37.54
(+69%)
Analyst growth 54.1%, PE expands to 45.1
Base Case
$34.13
(+54%)
Market implied 54.1%, PE stable at 41.0
Bear Case
$15.06
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 34.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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