MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$13.08
-0.17 (-1.28%)
▼
5d:
+3.97%
30d:
+11.89%
90d:
+11.22%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: MTW shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.12
18.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $13.08, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.66 to $12.69. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.4) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$11.66 -
$12.69
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 19.7% above Wall St target ($10.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.66 -
$12.69
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.29
Resistance Level
$12.64
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.42
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.00
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$12.92
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$12.85
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$13.09
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 89.7%)
$66.67
(+410%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 89.7%)
$44.15
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.3, Growth: 89.7%)
$37.52
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.86 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.42
Bull Case
$15.79
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.4
Base Case
$13.08
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.9
Bear Case
$10.01
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.33
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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