MTW
The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP
The Manitowoc (MTW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$24.38
-0.20 (-0.81%)
▼
5d:
+12.51%
30d:
+9.03%
90d:
+17.89%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (41%)
Quality Score
46/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$21.89 – $23.71
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
16.6x
FAIR
vs 17.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$17.50
-28.2% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$21.14 / $25.31
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.73
20.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $24.38, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $21.89 to $23.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.6) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 114.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.14, while resistance sits at $25.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $17.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $21.14, while resistance sits at $25.31.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $17.50. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$21.89 -
$23.71
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
41.4%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$21.89 -
$23.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$21.14
Resistance Level
$25.31
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 28.2% above Wall St target ($17.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.60
Wall Street Target
$17.50
(-28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
114.3%
Profit Margin
1.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 17.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$24.06
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$23.75
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$23.44
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$24.44
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 34.6%)
$71.12
(+192%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.6, Growth: 34.6%)
$59.43
(+144%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 34.6%)
$50.52
(+107%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.71
Bull Case
$54.08
(+122%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case
$49.16
(+102%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$16.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.6 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$25.41
(+4.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.2%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MTW)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2025
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on MTW are bullish (sentiment score +0.76) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 9:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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