MTW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTW - The Manitowoc Company, Inc.
$12.69
-0.03 (-0.24%)
▼
5d:
+3.42%
30d:
+3.93%
90d:
-3.94%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.96
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.12
21.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTW is currently trading at $12.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.12 to $13.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $12.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $10.50. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$12.12 -
$13.57
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.3% above Wall St target ($10.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.12 -
$13.57
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.29
Resistance Level
$12.64
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.99
Wall Street Target
$10.50
(-17.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.0 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.49
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$12.29
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$12.09
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$12.70
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 89.7%)
$66.67
(+425%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 89.7%)
$42.83
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.9, Growth: 89.7%)
$36.40
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 25.84 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.49
Bull Case
$15.32
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$12.69
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.8
Bear Case
$9.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.33
(+5.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 11:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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