The Marzetti (MZTI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MZTI - The Marzetti Company Common Stock
$112.33
7.00 (6.65%)
▲
5d:
+8.86%
30d:
+10.0%
90d:
+4.8%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MZTI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MZTI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.05
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MZTI is currently trading at $112.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.34 to $104.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.6) compared to its historical average (17.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MZTI scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.60 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: MZTI scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $143.60 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$99.34 -
$104.71
Company Quality Score
33/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
28.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($143.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 33/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.34 -
$104.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$98.70
Resistance Level
$112.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.56
Wall Street Target
$143.60
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.5%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 17.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$108.06
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$103.96
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$100.00
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→18)
$112.46
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$175.67
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 7.0%)
$137.66
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.2, Growth: 7.0%)
$117.01
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.98
Bull Case
$120.59
(+15%)
Analyst growth 3.4%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$109.62
(+4%)
Market implied 3.4%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$72.09
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.6 to 17.5
Stabilization Target:
$126.32
(+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 5:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MZTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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