MZTI
The Marzetti Company Common Stock
CANNED, FROZEN & PRESERVD FRUIT, VEG & FOOD SPECIALTIES
The Marzetti (MZTI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$111.49
+2.19 (+2.00%)
▲
5d:
-0.54%
30d:
+10.44%
90d:
-5.05%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (51%)
Quality Score
48/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$101.97 – $110.21
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
15.5x
CHEAP
vs 17.3x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$134.80
+20.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$97.11 / $114.80
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MZTI shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.16
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MZTI is currently trading at $111.49, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.97 to $110.21. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.80 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $114.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $134.80 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$101.97 -
$110.21
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$101.97 -
$110.21
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$97.11
Resistance Level
$114.80
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($134.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.45
Wall Street Target
$134.80
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.4%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$107.25
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$103.18
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$99.26
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$111.17
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 7.0%)
$175.67
(+58%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$136.63
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 7.0%)
$116.13
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.34
Bull Case
$136.88
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.8%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$124.44
(+12%)
Market implied 13.8%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$74.32
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.4 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$124.87
(+12.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.0%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 7:30 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:30 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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