The Marzetti (MZTI) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MZTI - The Marzetti Company Common Stock
$99.70
0.00 (0.01%)
▲
5d:
-0.77%
30d:
-10.48%
90d:
-11.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MZTI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
ℹ️ NEUTRAL: MZTI is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -8.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$167.88
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.24
4.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MZTI is currently trading at $99.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.54 to $110.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.8) compared to its historical average (17.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 49.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.60 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MZTI is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $97.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 46/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $146.60 (+47.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$99.54 -
$110.76
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (46/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.1% below Wall St target ($146.60)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$99.54 -
$110.76
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.00
Resistance Level
$104.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.81
Wall Street Target
$146.60
(+47.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
49.5%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 17.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$91.62
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$84.19
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$77.37
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→18)
$99.72
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 7.0%)
$180.45
(+81%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$122.17
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: 7.0%)
$103.84
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.98
Bull Case
$112.83
(+13%)
Analyst growth 3.4%, PE expands to 15.6
Base Case
$102.57
(+3%)
Market implied 3.4%, PE stable at 14.2
Bear Case
$67.45
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.8 to 17.8
Stabilization Target:
$128.48
(+28.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MZTI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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