NCR Atleos (NATL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NATL - NCR Atleos Corporation
$45.36
0.33 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
-0.94%
90d:
+0.89%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NATL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NATL is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.25
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NATL is currently trading at $45.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.74 to $46.36. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (8.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NATL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NATL scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.20 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NATL is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NATL scores 64/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $50.20 (+11.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.74 -
$46.36
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NATL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (64/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($50.20)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.74 -
$46.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.71
Resistance Level
$46.45
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.40
Wall Street Target
$50.20
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
65.4%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 8.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.53
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$46.03
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$46.53
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.86
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$152.57
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 11.7%)
$62.83
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 11.7%)
$53.41
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case
$99.40
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$90.36
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$30.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 2:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NATL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NATL price and gamma walls.
