NextDecade (NEXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NEXT - NextDecade Corporation Common Stock
$5.91
-0.14 (-2.31%)
▼
5d:
-1.66%
30d:
-11.53%
90d:
-15.63%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
6d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Oct 16, 2026 at $6.26 · last confirmed Oct 21, 2026
Strength: 7.9/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NEXT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NEXT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.23
70.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NEXT is currently trading at $5.91, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.22 to $6.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (85.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 58.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.70, while resistance sits at $6.88.
Market Sentiment: NEXT scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.70, while resistance sits at $6.88.
Market Sentiment: NEXT scores 31/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+47.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.22 -
$6.94
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (31/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.2% below Wall St target ($8.70)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.22 -
$6.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.70
Resistance Level
$6.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.35
Wall Street Target
$8.70
(+47.2%)
Valuation Discount vs History
-58.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.4 vs 85.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-58.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.32
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$4.79
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.31
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→86)
$57.97
(+881%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.4 to 85.5
Stabilization Target:
$79.52
(+1245.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1245.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 6:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NEXT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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