NextDecade (NEXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEXT - NextDecade Corporation Common Stock

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
$7.64
-0.03 (-0.39%) ▼
5d: +2.96%
30d: +13.02%
90d: -7.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 29, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Sep 4, 2026 at $7.34 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026

Strength: 6.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NEXT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEXT is currently trading at $7.64, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.76 to $7.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 50.9) compared to its historical average (98.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+13.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $6.76 - $7.50
Company Quality Score 47/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 48.6%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($8.70)
  • WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.76 - $7.50
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $7.27
Resistance Level $7.85
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Sep 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 50.93
Wall Street Target $8.70 (+13.9%)
Valuation Discount vs History -19.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 50.9 vs 98.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -19.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.88 (-10%)
2-Year Target $6.19 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.57 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 51→99) $10.80 (+41%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.9 to 98.8
Stabilization Target: $14.82 (+94.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +94.0%
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Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Pamela K.M. Beall BUY 71500 shares 2026-03-23

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