NEXT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NEXT - NextDecade Corporation Common Stock

NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION
$7.12
0.12 (1.71%) ▲
5d: -0.97%
30d: -10.55%
90d: -15.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026 0d
Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 17, 2026 at $6.95 · last confirmed Aug 21, 2026

Strength: 7.4/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: NEXT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.6% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEXT is currently trading at $7.12, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.51 to $7.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 109.5) compared to its historical average (98.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.31. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.25 (+29.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $6.51 - $7.58
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 73.3%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 29.9% below Wall St target ($9.25)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.51 - $7.58
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.63
Resistance Level $7.31
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 109.54
Wall Street Target $9.25 (+29.9%)
Valuation Premium vs History +3.6% premium
PE vs Historical 109.5 vs 98.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.38 (+4%)
2-Year Target $7.64 (+7%)
3-Year Target $7.92 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 110→99) PE COMPRESSION $7.12 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 3:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Pamela K.M. Beall BUY 71500 shares 2026-03-23

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