NEXT NextDecade Corporation Common Stock NATURAL GAS TRANSMISSION & DISTRIBUTION

NextDecade (NEXT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$6.54
+0.19 (+2.99%) ▲
5d: +4.64% 30d: -3.82% 90d: -3.54%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (83%)
Quality Score
58/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$6.06 – $6.82
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.0x CHEAP
vs 77.7x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$8.70
+33.0% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$5.71 / $7.60
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NEXT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 55.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $6.00 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026

Strength: 8.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.23
67.7% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NEXT is currently trading at $6.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.06 to $6.82. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (77.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 55.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NEXT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.71, while resistance sits at $7.60.

Market Sentiment: NEXT scores 67/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.70 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $6.06 - $6.82
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.3%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $6.06 - $6.82
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Support Level $5.71
Resistance Level $7.60
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Nov 11, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (67/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($8.70)
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 67/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 7.03
Wall Street Target $8.70 (+33.0%)
Valuation Discount vs History -55.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 7.0 vs 77.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -55.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.89 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.30 (-19%)
3-Year Target $4.77 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→78) $52.68 (+706%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 77.7
Stabilization Target: $72.26 (+1004.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +1004.9%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NEXT)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 11, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: QatarEnergy is expanding its U.S. LNG purchases to reduce dependence on regional export routes due to Middle East conflicts. Four energy stocks, including NextDecade Corporation (NEXT), are poised to benefit from QatarEnergy's increased demand.
Key Retail Themes: QatarEnergy's increased demand for U.S. LNG Stocks that could benefit from this trend
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 8:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:52 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Explore More Analysis & Live Quant Tools

Part A: Deep-Dive NEXT Research Pages
NEXT Technical Chart NEXT Price Prediction NEXT Intrinsic Value DCF NEXT Earnings Date Why is NEXT Moving Today? NEXT Investment Advisor NEXT Fair Price Analyzer NEXT Competitors
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