New Fortress Energy (NFE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NFE - New Fortress Energy Inc. Class A Common Stock
$6.57
0.66 (11.17%)
â˛
5d:
-3.67%
30d:
+2187.6%
90d:
+1725.51%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NFE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -30.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NFE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -30.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.40
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.01
61.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NFE is currently trading at $6.57, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.25 to $9.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.2) compared to its historical average (9.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 30.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.73, while resistance sits at $12.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NFE scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NFE is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $5.73, while resistance sits at $12.15. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 11.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: NFE scores 20/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $2.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$0.25 -
$9.89
Company Quality Score
41/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (20/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+11.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading 69.6% above Wall St target ($2.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 41/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$0.25 -
$9.89
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.73
Resistance Level
$12.16
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.16
Wall Street Target
$2.00
(-69.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-89.6%
Profit Margin
-149.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-30.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.2 vs 9.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-30.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.91
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$5.32
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$4.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3â9)
$14.25
(+117%)
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.2 to 9.4
Stabilization Target:
$19.55
(+197.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+197.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 12:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NFE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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