NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NGL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$17.58
-0.09 (-0.51%)
âŧ
5d:
-3.3%
30d:
+3.47%
90d:
+12.26%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 03, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.8% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.31
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.95
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $17.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.92 to $18.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 21.4) compared to its historical average (17.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NGL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NGL scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.92 -
$18.13
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
40.5%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 71.6% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.8% growth expectation is conservative given 1129% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.92 -
$18.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.40
Resistance Level
$19.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.44
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-71.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1128.6%
Profit Margin
-3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.8% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 17.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.95
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$20.43
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$22.02
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.4, Growth: 141.2%)
$59.33
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 141.2%)
$55.82
(+218%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 141.2%)
$47.32
(+169%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 1:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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