NGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$16.00
-0.39 (-2.38%)
▼
5d:
+6.52%
30d:
+5.33%
90d:
+5.75%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When NGL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NGL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.19
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.26
1.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $16.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.14 to $16.00. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.5) compared to its historical average (16.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $16.41. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NGL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$15.14 -
$16.00
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 68.8% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.9% growth with -13.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.14 -
$16.00
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.00
Resistance Level
$16.41
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.51
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-68.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.1%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.9% premium
PE vs Historical
19.5 vs 16.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.94
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$17.94
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$19.00
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.97
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 141.2%)
$57.37
(+259%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.5, Growth: 141.2%)
$54.00
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 141.2%)
$45.39
(+184%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Oil & Gas Midstream Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Oil & Gas Midstream by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LNG
Cheniere Energy Inc |
STRONG BUY
24 analysts |
$304 | 49 HOLD |
|
TRGP
Targa Resources Inc |
STRONG BUY
22 analysts |
$297 | 48 HOLD |
|
TRP
TC Energy Corp |
BUY
23 analysts |
$64 | 52 HOLD |
|
ET
Energy Transfer LP |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$24 | 44 HOLD |
|
VNOM
Viper Energy Ut |
STRONG BUY
15 analysts |
$56 | 45 HOLD |
