NGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$16.81
-0.24 (-1.41%)
âŧ
5d:
-6.46%
30d:
+4.54%
90d:
-4.6%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 7.1% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$26.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.56
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $16.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.52 to $17.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.5) compared to its historical average (16.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 42/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$15.52 -
$17.32
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (42/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 70.3% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 7.1% growth expectation is conservative given 1129% recent growth
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.52 -
$17.32
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.59
Resistance Level
$18.64
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.50
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-70.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1128.6%
Profit Margin
-3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.5 vs 16.7
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$18.00
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$19.28
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$20.65
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21â17)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.82
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.5, Growth: 141.2%)
$56.73
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 141.2%)
$55.54
(+230%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.7, Growth: 141.2%)
$46.22
(+175%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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