NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NGL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$15.63
+0.02 (+0.13%)
â˛
5d:
+5.97%
30d:
+6.18%
90d:
-13.02%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (64%)
Quality Score
49/100
Position
FAIR
30-Day Fair Range
$14.98 â $16.11
Position: FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
19.1x
FAIR
vs 17.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$5.00
-68.0% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$14.60 / $16.72
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NGL is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 2.8% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$28.10
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.45
10.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $15.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.98 to $16.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.60, while resistance sits at $16.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.60, while resistance sits at $16.72.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.98 -
$16.11
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$14.98 -
$16.11
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support Level
$14.60
Resistance Level
$16.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 68.0% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.06
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-68.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1128.6%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
19.1 vs 17.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$16.07
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.52
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$16.98
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â18)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 141.2%)
$54.96
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.1, Growth: 141.2%)
$52.75
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.2, Growth: 141.2%)
$44.84
(+187%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NGL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits messages suggest a bullish outlook for $NGL, with users mentioning $ENB and $USO. No recent news articles are available.
Key Retail Themes:
$ENB and $USO mention
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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