NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP (NGL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$15.54
0.05 (0.32%)
▲
5d:
+2.24%
30d:
+1.24%
90d:
+3.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NGL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: NGL is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.8% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.78
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.25
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $15.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.88 to $16.14. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.9) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 50/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.88 -
$16.14
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (50/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 67.8% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (50/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.88 -
$16.14
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.60
Resistance Level
$15.73
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.95
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-67.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
59.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1128.6%
Profit Margin
-3.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.8% premium
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.98
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$16.42
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$16.88
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 141.2%)
$54.96
(+254%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 141.2%)
$52.45
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 141.2%)
$44.58
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 12:05 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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