NGL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGL - NGL ENERGY PARTNERS LP
$16.28
-0.25 (-1.51%)
▼
5d:
-2.98%
30d:
+2.71%
90d:
+37.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NGL trades at premium valuation expecting 8.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: NGL trades at premium valuation expecting 8.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.75
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGL is currently trading at $16.28, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.00 to $17.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.9) compared to its historical average (15.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.55, while resistance sits at $18.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $15.55, while resistance sits at $18.55.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $5.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$15.00 -
$17.47
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 69.3% above Wall St target ($5.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.6% growth with -13.3% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$15.00 -
$17.47
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.55
Resistance Level
$18.55
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.85
Wall Street Target
$5.00
(-69.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-13.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.1%
Profit Margin
-4.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
19.9 vs 15.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.68
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$19.20
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$20.85
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$16.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 141.2%)
$60.64
(+273%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 141.2%)
$54.95
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 141.2%)
$42.90
(+164%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 6:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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