Natural Gas Services Group (NGS) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NGS - Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
$30.97
0.93 (3.10%)
▲
5d:
-0.42%
30d:
-7.0%
90d:
-14.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 09, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NGS shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.39
40.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NGS is currently trading at $30.97, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.31 to $34.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (16.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.91, while resistance sits at $33.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+80.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NGS is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $29.91, while resistance sits at $33.51. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 47/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.00 (+80.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$31.31 -
$34.07
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
42th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NGS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 42th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (47/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 80.8% below Wall St target ($56.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$31.31 -
$34.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.33
(7.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.91
Resistance Level
$33.51
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.87
Wall Street Target
$56.00
(+80.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-26.8%
Profit Margin
10.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 16.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$25.09
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$22.58
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→17)
$31.58
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 38.8%)
$138.70
(+348%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 38.8%)
$82.87
(+168%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 38.8%)
$70.44
(+127%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.53
Bull Case
$56.37
(+82%)
Analyst growth 70.6%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$51.24
(+66%)
Market implied 70.6%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$20.43
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 16.6
Stabilization Target:
$43.33
(+39.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 26, 2026 2:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NGS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced NGS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NGS price and gamma walls.
