NICE (NICE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$94.23
+0.50 (+0.53%)
▲
5d:
-5.38%
30d:
-18.03%
90d:
-10.47%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence (57%)
Quality Score
54/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$102.74 – $119.97
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
7.4x
CHEAP
vs 8.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$127.54
+35.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$92.67 / $116.46
Trend: Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 HOLD: NICE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.72
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.04
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $94.23, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.74 to $119.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.4) compared to its historical average (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NICE scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.54 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $92.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NICE scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.54 (+35.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$102.74 -
$119.97
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$102.74 -
$119.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support Level
$92.67
Resistance Level
$116.46
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 35.3% below Wall St target ($127.54)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.44
Wall Street Target
$127.54
(+35.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-30.1%
Profit Margin
12.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 8.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$89.90
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$85.76
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$81.82
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$94.59
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 12.8%)
$361.54
(+284%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.4, Growth: 12.8%)
$135.41
(+44%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 12.8%)
$115.10
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.17 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.18
Bull Case
$206.21
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 16.7
Base Case
$187.46
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 15.2
Bear Case
$63.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.4 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$108.94
(+15.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NICE)
Bullish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
Last Tracked
Oct 29, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on NICE are bullish (sentiment score +0.66) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 2:20 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:20 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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