NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$103.48
3.74 (3.75%)
▲
5d:
+6.49%
30d:
+17.11%
90d:
+6.68%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NICE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NICE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.88
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$103.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $103.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.28 to $96.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.43 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.43 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$86.28 -
$96.76
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.9% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($131.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.28 -
$96.76
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.71
Resistance Level
$101.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$131.43
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$101.72
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$99.99
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$98.29
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$103.14
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$405.75
(+292%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 13.8%)
$152.68
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 13.8%)
$129.78
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.43
Bull Case
$164.33
(+59%)
Analyst growth 49.8%, PE expands to 13.0
Base Case
$149.39
(+44%)
Market implied 49.8%, PE stable at 11.8
Bear Case
$67.82
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$108.58
(+4.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 9:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:29 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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