NICE (NICE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$98.18
0.14 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-9.35%
30d:
-0.39%
90d:
+11.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.51
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.91
2.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $98.18, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.66 to $105.59. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $97.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NICE scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.85 (+28.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $97.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NICE scores 34/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.85 (+28.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$98.66 -
$105.59
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (34/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($125.85)
- WARNING: Composite score 45/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.66 -
$105.59
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.44
Resistance Level
$111.15
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.76
Wall Street Target
$125.85
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.7%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.23
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$92.38
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$89.61
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$98.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 13.3%)
$371.19
(+278%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 13.3%)
$142.76
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.6, Growth: 13.3%)
$121.35
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.27 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.87
Bull Case
$198.68
(+102%)
Analyst growth 84.2%, PE expands to 15.7
Base Case
$180.62
(+84%)
Market implied 84.2%, PE stable at 14.3
Bear Case
$66.67
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$107.58
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 1:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:44 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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