NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$98.79
-0.09 (-0.09%)
▼
5d:
+9.45%
30d:
+4.18%
90d:
-3.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NICE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NICE shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$165.20
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.58
3.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $98.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.48 to $100.13. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.8) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $86.01, while resistance sits at $105.84.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.46 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $86.01, while resistance sits at $105.84.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.46 (+27.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$88.48 -
$100.13
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.0% below Wall St target ($125.46)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.48 -
$100.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$86.01
Resistance Level
$105.84
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.84
Wall Street Target
$125.46
(+27.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.8 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.83
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$92.95
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$90.16
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$98.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$383.51
(+288%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.8, Growth: 13.7%)
$145.02
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 13.7%)
$123.27
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.94
Bull Case
$172.64
(+75%)
Analyst growth 58.7%, PE expands to 13.7
Base Case
$156.94
(+59%)
Market implied 58.7%, PE stable at 12.5
Bear Case
$67.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.8 to 8.6
Stabilization Target:
$108.38
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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