NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$87.07
3.00 (3.57%)
▲
5d:
+0.61%
30d:
-8.68%
90d:
-25.59%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NICE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NICE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 7.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$169.74
Based on 8.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$105.40
17.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $87.07, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.90 to $95.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.9) compared to its historical average (8.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.43 (+50.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $85.71. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: NICE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $131.43 (+50.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$86.90 -
$95.03
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 50.9% below Wall St target ($131.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.90 -
$95.03
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$85.71
Resistance Level
$101.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.90
Wall Street Target
$131.43
(+50.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-61.7%
Profit Margin
17.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 8.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.37
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$74.18
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$68.47
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→9)
$87.37
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.8%)
$405.75
(+366%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$128.47
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 13.8%)
$109.20
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.97 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.43
Bull Case
$138.51
(+59%)
Analyst growth 49.8%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case
$125.92
(+45%)
Market implied 49.8%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case
$57.17
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 8.8
Stabilization Target:
$111.11
(+27.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:57 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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