NICE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$100.24
-0.13 (-0.13%)
âŧ
5d:
-1.98%
30d:
+15.46%
90d:
+5.13%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NICE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: NICE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -2.5% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$162.51
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$100.91
0.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $100.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $94.67 to $103.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.9) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $97.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.85 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $97.35. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $125.85 (+25.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$94.67 -
$103.48
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.5% below Wall St target ($125.85)
- WARNING: Composite score 53/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$94.67 -
$103.48
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$97.35
Resistance Level
$106.78
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.92
Wall Street Target
$125.85
(+25.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.7%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.9 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$97.73
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$95.29
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$92.91
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8â9)
$99.71
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.3%)
$369.35
(+269%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.9, Growth: 13.3%)
$145.76
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.7, Growth: 13.3%)
$123.89
(+24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.87
Bull Case
$203.40
(+103%)
Analyst growth 84.2%, PE expands to 16.1
Base Case
$184.91
(+85%)
Market implied 84.2%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$68.25
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.9 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$107.58
(+7.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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