NICE (NICE) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NICE - NICE Ltd
$113.90
-2.58 (-2.21%)
▼
5d:
+0.97%
30d:
+6.59%
90d:
+17.22%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NICE shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.11
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NICE is currently trading at $113.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $101.51 to $112.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.70, while resistance sits at $128.51.
Market Sentiment: NICE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.77 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NICE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.70, while resistance sits at $128.51.
Market Sentiment: NICE scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.77 (+16.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$101.51 -
$112.95
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
29.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($132.77)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.8% growth with 7.6% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$101.51 -
$112.95
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.70
Resistance Level
$128.51
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.99
Wall Street Target
$132.77
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.7%
Profit Margin
13.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.95
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$118.04
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$120.16
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.66
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.4, Growth: 13.4%)
$377.31
(+231%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 13.4%)
$166.21
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 13.4%)
$141.28
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.20
Bull Case
$225.56
(+98%)
Analyst growth 76.0%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$205.05
(+80%)
Market implied 76.0%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$79.21
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 9:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NICE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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