NINE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NINE - Nine Energy Service, Inc.

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$11.99
-0.24 (-1.96%) ▼
5d: +17.55%
30d: +15.29%
90d: +2273.79%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NINE trades at premium valuation expecting 11.0% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$0.19
Based on -41.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.12
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NINE is currently trading at $11.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.13 to $11.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 19.3) compared to its historical average (14.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NINE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: NINE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $14.00 (+16.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $10.13 - $11.30
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 53.8%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.1% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($14.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.0% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $10.13 - $11.30
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.50
Resistance Level $11.34
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 19.34
Wall Street Target $14.00 (+16.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -13.6%
Profit Margin 11.5%
Valuation Premium vs History +11.0% premium
PE vs Historical 19.3 vs 14.2 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +11.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.31 (+11%)
2-Year Target $14.77 (+23%)
3-Year Target $16.40 (+37%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 19→14) PE COMPRESSION $12.04 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: -87.6%) $9.84 (+-18%)
Base: (SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: -87.6%) $8.74 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 14.2, Growth: -87.6%) $6.42 (-47%)
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 8:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:07 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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