NIO
NIO Inc. American depositary shares, each representing one Class A ordinary share
Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
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NIO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$3.28
-0.13 (-3.81%)
▼
5d:
+2.82%
30d:
-5.48%
90d:
-27.75%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (86%)
Quality Score
75/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$3.26 – $3.48
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
3.9x
CHEAP
vs 4.4x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.10
+85.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$3.10 / $3.44
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NIO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Nov 5, 2026 at $3.16 · last confirmed Nov 10, 2026
Strength: 7.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.13
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NIO is currently trading at $3.28, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.26 to $3.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.9) compared to its historical average (4.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.10, while resistance sits at $3.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NIO scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.10 (+85.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NIO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $3.10, while resistance sits at $3.44. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: NIO scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $6.10 (+85.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$3.26 -
$3.48
Company Quality Score
75/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$3.26 -
$3.48
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$3.10
Resistance Level
$3.44
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 85.8% below Wall St target ($6.10)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.94
Wall Street Target
$6.10
(+85.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
69.1%
Profit Margin
-4.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
3.9 vs 4.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.17
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$3.07
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$2.97
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→4)
$3.31
(+1%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.9 to 4.4
Stabilization Target:
$3.66
(+11.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.6%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NIO)
Bearish
1 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
Last Tracked
Nov 9, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Reddit & WallStreetBets discussions on NIO are bearish (sentiment score +0.00) across 1 tracked comments.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:18 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:18 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NIO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NIO price and gamma walls.
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