Newsmax (NMAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMAX - Newsmax, Inc.
$11.39
0.41 (3.73%)
▲
5d:
+4.88%
30d:
+28.56%
90d:
+30.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Sep 3, 2026 at $10.86 · last confirmed Sep 9, 2026
Strength: 5.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NMAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NMAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.53
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMAX is currently trading at $11.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.10 to $11.16. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 53.0) compared to its historical average (91.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMAX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.21, while resistance sits at $12.11. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NMAX scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+62.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMAX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.21, while resistance sits at $12.11. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: NMAX scores 32/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.50 (+62.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.10 -
$11.16
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
33.3%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (32/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 62.4% below Wall St target ($18.50)
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.10 -
$11.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.21
Resistance Level
$12.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
52.98
Wall Street Target
$18.50
(+62.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
53.0 vs 91.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.25
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.30
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→92)
$14.34
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 35.46 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.32
Bull Case
$13.75
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.2
Base Case
$11.39
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 35.5
Bear Case
$8.71
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 31.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 53.0 to 91.5
Stabilization Target:
$19.67
(+72.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+72.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 8:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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