NMAX Newsmax, Inc. TELEVISION BROADCASTING STATIONS

Newsmax (NMAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$7.29
-0.45 (-5.81%) ▼
5d: -1.75% 30d: -21.36% 90d: -32.93%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (80%)
Quality Score
51/100
Position
OVERSOLD
30-Day Fair Range
$7.58 – $9.58
Position: OVERSOLD
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.9x CHEAP
vs 77.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$15.67
+114.9% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$7.22 / $8.56
Trend: Downtrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NMAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.53
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NMAX is currently trading at $7.29, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.58 to $9.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.9) compared to its historical average (77.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NMAX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.67 (+114.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $7.58 - $9.58
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.6%

Trading Range & Key Levels

30-Day Trading Range $7.58 - $9.58
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.70 (9.6%)
Support Level $7.22
Resistance Level $8.56
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Nov 12, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 114.9% below Wall St target ($15.67)
  • WARNING: Composite score 51/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.91
Wall Street Target $15.67 (+114.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.5%
Profit Margin -3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -24.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.9 vs 77.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -24.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.56 (-10%)
2-Year Target $5.90 (-19%)
3-Year Target $5.31 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 34→78) $12.15 (+67%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 25.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.29
Bull Case $8.80 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case $7.29 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 25.2
Bear Case $5.58 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.9 to 77.5
Stabilization Target: $16.66 (+128.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +128.6%
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NMAX)

Bullish 7 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
6 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 13, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: Newsmax reported stronger-than-expected Q3 financial results, with record revenue, net income, and adjusted EBITDA. These results led to a bullish sentiment on StockTwits.
Key Retail Themes: earnings beat revenue growth
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 13, 2026 5:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:03 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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