Newsmax (NMAX) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NMAX - Newsmax, Inc.
$7.93
-0.24 (-2.94%)
▼
5d:
-9.27%
30d:
-27.78%
90d:
+2.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NMAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NMAX shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.53
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.68
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NMAX is currently trading at $7.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.55 to $11.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.9) compared to its historical average (81.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMAX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.67 (+97.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NMAX is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $7.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 55/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $15.67 (+97.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$9.55 -
$11.08
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 97.6% below Wall St target ($15.67)
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.55 -
$11.08
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$7.85
Resistance Level
$10.58
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.88
Wall Street Target
$15.67
(+97.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
16.5%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-23.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.9 vs 81.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-23.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$6.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$5.78
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 37→82)
$12.81
(+62%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 36.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.22
Bull Case
$9.58
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.2
Base Case
$7.93
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.4
Bear Case
$6.07
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.9 to 81.7
Stabilization Target:
$17.57
(+121.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+121.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 24, 2026 1:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NMAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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